TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6828…1056

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,402
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 63 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT24736.8%91 W · 156 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 247 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,333Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$967
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$196
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.23
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$112.59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.7
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.58
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.93
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$960.5
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$125.06
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.83
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$212.04
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.6
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$100.08
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$1,050.98
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$1,891.26
Will Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.32
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$70.77
Showing 25 of 247 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT18445.1%83 W · 101 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 184 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$128.23
Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.31
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$159.69
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$65.81
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$61.95
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$111.52
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$675.38
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$503.19
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+60%+$225
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$81.6
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.3
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 25 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
ICE forced to unmask by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.7%+$52.1
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,506Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.8%+$2,851.15
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$843.68
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+67.8%+$73.07
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+101.6%+$252
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$120
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.2%+$142.79
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+70.9%+$249
Showing 25 of 184 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT18151.9%94 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 181 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$209.94
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$553.99
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,139.97
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$879.98
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,045.53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$884
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,655Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+126%+$3,345.04
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$1,224
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$1,136.08
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.71
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$87.6
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$647.12
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$449.71
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.32
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$182
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Showing 25 of 181 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT15451.3%79 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 154 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$254
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.7
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$178.63
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$59.9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$162.25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,822.88
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.46
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$105.3
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+226.2%+$116.21
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$658.96
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.59
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,814Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+80.7%+$1,463.65
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+60.2%+$413.41
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+233.3%+$630
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$180
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$512.99
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$32.73
Showing 25 of 154 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT11850%59 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
AI — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.81
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$224
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,553.78
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,865.35
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$634.99
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,948Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.2%+$1,243.26
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.32
Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+77.7%+$300.25
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+376.2%+$552.98
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+41.9%+$383.99
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$257.69
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$140.99
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,599Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+32.1%+$512.66
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,309Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+123.3%+$2,845.87
Will Grok win the okbet trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$35.7
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$99.05
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,731Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37.5%+$648.7
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+40.1%+$127.57
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT8040%32 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$61.91
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.34
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$176.64
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.16
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.22
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$269.51
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280.07
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.15
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$210
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$255
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.62
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+27.1%+$71.49
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$103.78
Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.04
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56.47
Will Kate Hudson be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$182.99
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$51.6
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+34.5%+$231
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+64.7%+$400.71
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT7255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.3wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$19.8
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$165.33
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.74
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,393.99
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$234
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+183.5%+$546.22
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$117
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+186.1%+$559.25
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+287.9%+$667.99
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$190.62
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+118%+$433
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$594
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.3%+$950.05
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,798Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+39.1%+$1,484.85
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$167
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$375
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$450.26
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+192.8%+$1,053.65
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$330
Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+132.6%+$171
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT6355.6%35 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+167.5%+$886
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+124%+$302.09
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$507.72
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Will the January 2026 FOMC decision result in no change with ≥2 dissents?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+118%+$237.08
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$198.1
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,962Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+130%+$2,550.22
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,649Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.4%+$1,146.11
Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.3%+$28.65
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$125
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$147.47
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$285
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+28.8%+$321.06
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.31
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+74.7%+$157.52
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+87.2%+$64.77
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT4946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$357.18
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27.01
Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+177.8%+$191.98
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$67.38
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$196
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$433.66
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$709.98
Will 'Honey' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10.75
Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.59
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.26
D4vd arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$25.01
Selena Gomez married in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$83.55
Will Playboi Carti release another album before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$92.2
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG" debut at #1 in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$78
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.34
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.54
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+370.5%+$1,260.02
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$270.09
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$543
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$144
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$260.5
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.98
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT4062.5%25 W · 15 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$43.2
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.59
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$426
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$137.4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,004.96
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$437.96
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+166%+$312
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$159
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$80.98
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by >29%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+156.9%+$65.56
Will Democrats win five elections in Nov?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+30.3%+$120.17
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+270.4%+$58.4
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+92.5%+$480.5
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+55%+$710
Will Andrew Cuomo get less than 15% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.14
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$171
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+51%+$270.2
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$164
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$516
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+669.2%+$1,941.49
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$68.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$78
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$152.59
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$96.67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60.97
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.3
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will between 16 and 19 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+30.4%+$16.2
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24
2025 September third hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+428.2%+$289
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in October 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$18.24
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25.9%+$185.1
2025 September second hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+380.4%+$380.88
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on October 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$84.03
Will global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.14
2025 May hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Megaquake in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$204.81
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.63
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27.9
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+177.8%+$285.09
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$198
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+513.5%+$251.1
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$43.53
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$60.48
Will the US lose jobs in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$38.31
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+669.2%+$174
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.36
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$406.86
Will egg prices be between $4.75 and $5.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.1
Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+300%+$225
Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will egg prices be more than $6.25 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.11
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2025, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$153
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$171
Athletics vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Cincinnati Reds vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$198
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Cleveland Guardians vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$216
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+57%+$108.87
Minnesota Twins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$144
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$129
Athletics vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$159
Cincinnati Reds vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$108
Cleveland Guardians vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$192
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$174
New York Mets vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
All 19 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will Nike say "Direct to Consumer / DTC" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$91.34
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+543.6%+$329.39
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.24
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$32.42
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+63.4%+$77.6
Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Disney say "NFL Deal" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$117
Will Disney say "YouTube TV" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.14
Will Disney say "Abu Dhabi" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$17.4
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$59.99
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Palantir say "Government Contract" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$99
Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$287.8
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+360.5%+$547.96
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$180
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,921Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.5%+$1,117
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$671
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$558.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$166.34
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$384.99
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,988Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.8%+$2,983.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29%+$45
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56%+$215.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+39%+$293.05
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$78
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$255.32
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$132
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+51.3%+$407
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$582.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+147.5%+$401.32
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$25.62
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+31.3%+$405.53
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+41.2%+$233.4
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$682.57
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$841.97
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+26.2%+$82.99
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$133.72
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$966.55
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,113
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$382
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,416.3
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the medal presentation on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$137.13
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$450.47
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$192
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$232
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. DRXbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$60
League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. SK Gamingbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$222
League of Legends: FURIA Esports vs. Vivo Keyd Starsbacked Vivo Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$228
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. LGD Gamingbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Invictus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$940
Will AG.AL win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,032
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.76
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$262
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$57.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.84
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$772.22
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.98
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.6%+$119.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+184.1%+$37.14
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.3%+$216
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.6%+$311.84
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$249.5
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$38.25
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$288
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$109.51
Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.43
Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$58.3
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$573.78
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,209.99
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$413.72
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.93
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$352.83
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$41.53
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+127.9%+$212.53
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid+241.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$160
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$840
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+49.3%+$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$727.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.