Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
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https://tailmypicks.com/e/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026
Top 200 wallets
31
Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won. Yes: 4 wallets, $121 · No: 7 wallets, $1,050 7 of 11 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfd39…9ec8#13 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $48 | 24c | +$152 | 58 |
| 0xf440…b009#19 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $680 | 68c | +$320 | 57 |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0x625b…22cf#36 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $38 | 76c | +$12.01 | 56 |
| 0xea7f…b855#98 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $24 | 52c | +$21.72 | 54 |
| 0x38d8…ea7c#100 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $14 | 69c | +$6.2 | 54 |
| 0xd9fe…db0d#111 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $62 | 50c | +$60.54 | 54 |
| 0x8a51…51a2#121 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $57 | 52c | -$56.52 | 53 |
| 0x4d02…2ad3#145 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $34 | 57c | -$34 | 53 |
| 0xe8fc…0d3b#214 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $184 | 65c | +$98.13 | 52 |
| 0xe123…2fc1#222 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $18 | 14c | -$18.24 | 52 |
| 0x1284…3694#398 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $12 | 16c | -$12.22 | 51 |
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won. Yes: 4 wallets, $64 · No: 5 wallets, $206 5 of 9 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfd39…9ec8#13 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $84 | 76c | +$26.4 | 58 |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5#18 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $20 | 71c | +$8.12 | 57 |
| 0x1c14…0869#43 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $20 | 9c | -$20.02 | 56 |
| 0xeed8…35f0#64 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $16 | 16c | -$15.95 | 55 |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0x3008…3c76#73 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $15 | 75c | +$5 | 55 |
| 0x2762…2cf6#78 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $38 | 76c | +$12.1 | 54 |
| 0xd9fe…db0d#111 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $50 | 77c | +$14.76 | 54 |
| 0xe8fc…0d3b#214 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $17 | 33c | -$16.5 | 52 |
| 0xe550…6f6e#308 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $11 | 12c | -$11.35 | 51 |
Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won. Yes: 5 wallets, $138 · No: 4 wallets, $192 4 of 9 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xeed8…35f0#64 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $38 | 25c | -$38.3 | 55 |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0x625b…22cf#36 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $124 | 69c | +$55.96 | 56 |
| 0x3008…3c76#73 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $14 | 71c | +$5.8 | 55 |
| 0xd9fe…db0d#111 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $11 | 80c | +$2.75 | 54 |
| 0x8a51…51a2#121 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $43 | 40c | +$64.64 | 53 |
| 0xc3cd…816c#193 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $40 | 40c | -$40 | 52 |
| 0xe8fc…0d3b#214 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $25 | 29c | -$24.56 | 52 |
| 0xe550…6f6e#308 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $11 | 22c | -$10.73 | 51 |
| 0x29ef…ddda#351 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $25 | 62c | -$24.8 | 51 |
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 1 wallet, $40 · No: 4 wallets, $134 1 of 5 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfd39…9ec8#13 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $39 | 27c | -$39.21 | 58 |
| 0xeed8…35f0#64 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $40 | 24c | +$130.71 | 55 |
| 0x1ef0…e28e#81 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $62 | 62c | -$62 | 54 |
| 0x29ed…a8da#428 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $11 | 55c | -$11.04 | 50 |
| 0xbc42…790f#684 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $22 | 49c | -$21.96 | 49 |
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 1? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 2 wallets, $114 · No: 2 wallets, $26 2 of 4 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfd39…9ec8#13 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $67 | 66c | +$34.14 | 58 |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0x4d02…2ad3#145 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $47 | 80c | +$11.75 | 53 |
| 0xc301…66aa#240 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $10 | 5c | -$10.22 | 52 |
| 0xa89c…1410#642 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $16 | 80c | -$16 | 49 |
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 23? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won. Yes: 0 wallets, $0 · No: 4 wallets, $278 4 of 4 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfd39…9ec8#13 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $217 | 71c | +$90.1 | 58 |
| 0xeed8…35f0#64 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $15 | 77c | +$4.51 | 55 |
| 0x29ed…a8da#428 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $15 | 75c | +$5 | 50 |
| 0xbc42…790f#684 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $30 | 76c | +$9.8 | 49 |
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2? (opens in a new tab)
Settled. The result and the qualified picks come with the nightly update. Until then, this is what the top 200 wallets bought.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet in the top 200 of Us Midterms, with its place on that board. The top 50 come first, then the 51st to the 200th below a line. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet bought.
- Bought for
- What the wallet's buys on this side put in. What it held at the end is not read any more: Polymarket stops reporting a position once its market settles.
- Price
- The average price the wallet bought at, in cents.
- Bought
- When the wallet first bought, and when it last added to the position. In play means after the start. Where we never saw the buy, the row says how long we have seen it held.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Bought on this market | Settled markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet in the top 200 of Us Midterms, with its place on that board. The top 50 come first, then the 51st to the 200th below a line. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet bought. | Bought forWhat the wallet's buys on this side put in. What it held at the end is not read any more: Polymarket stops reporting a position once its market settles. | PriceThe average price the wallet bought at, in cents. | BoughtWhen the wallet first bought, and when it last added to the position. In play means after the start. Where we never saw the buy, the row says how long we have seen it held. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfd39…9ec8#13 on the board | Yesmarket closed | $227 | 45c | first buy | 58 |
| Top 51 to 200 | |||||
| 0xeed8…35f0#64 on the board | Nomarket closed | $15 | 67c | first buy | 55 |
Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won. Yes: 0 wallets, $0 · No: 2 wallets, $28 2 of 2 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0x9c18…f3a2#66 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $14 | 71c | +$5.8 | 55 |
| 0x3008…3c76#73 on the board | No | won (open this pick) | $14 | 71c | +$5.8 | 55 |
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 1 wallet, $19 · No: 0 wallets, $0 1 of 1 wallet backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfd39…9ec8#13 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $19 | 72c | +$7.56 | 58 |
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won. Yes: 1 wallet, $201 · No: 0 wallets, $0 0 of 1 wallet backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfd39…9ec8#13 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $201 | 40c | -$200.95 | 58 |
Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 1? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: No won. Yes: 1 wallet, $11 · No: 0 wallets, $0 0 of 1 wallet backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| Top 51 to 200 | ||||||
| 0x07ea…7fc4#402 on the board | Yes | lost (open this pick) | $11 | 47c | -$11.47 | 50 |
Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on November 2? (opens in a new tab)
Settled. The result and the qualified picks come with the nightly update. Until then, this is what the top 200 wallets bought.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet in the top 200 of Us Midterms, with its place on that board. The top 50 come first, then the 51st to the 200th below a line. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet bought.
- Bought for
- What the wallet's buys on this side put in. What it held at the end is not read any more: Polymarket stops reporting a position once its market settles.
- Price
- The average price the wallet bought at, in cents.
- Bought
- When the wallet first bought, and when it last added to the position. In play means after the start. Where we never saw the buy, the row says how long we have seen it held.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Bought on this market | Settled markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet in the top 200 of Us Midterms, with its place on that board. The top 50 come first, then the 51st to the 200th below a line. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet bought. | Bought forWhat the wallet's buys on this side put in. What it held at the end is not read any more: Polymarket stops reporting a position once its market settles. | PriceThe average price the wallet bought at, in cents. | BoughtWhen the wallet first bought, and when it last added to the position. In play means after the start. Where we never saw the buy, the row says how long we have seen it held. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfd39…9ec8#13 on the board | Nomarket closed | $67 | 56c | first buy | 58 |
Democratic Senate odds 66-68% on October 30? (opens in a new tab)
Settled more than a day ago, and the nightly update has not brought its result: we have not read this market yet, or no pick on it qualified. This is what the top 200 wallets bought.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet in the top 200 of Us Midterms, with its place on that board. The top 50 come first, then the 51st to the 200th below a line. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet bought.
- Bought for
- What the wallet's buys on this side put in. What it held at the end is not read any more: Polymarket stops reporting a position once its market settles.
- Price
- The average price the wallet bought at, in cents.
- Bought
- When the wallet first bought, and when it last added to the position. In play means after the start. Where we never saw the buy, the row says how long we have seen it held.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Bought on this market | Settled markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet in the top 200 of Us Midterms, with its place on that board. The top 50 come first, then the 51st to the 200th below a line. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet bought. | Bought forWhat the wallet's buys on this side put in. What it held at the end is not read any more: Polymarket stops reporting a position once its market settles. | PriceThe average price the wallet bought at, in cents. | BoughtWhen the wallet first bought, and when it last added to the position. In play means after the start. Where we never saw the buy, the row says how long we have seen it held. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfd39…9ec8#13 on the board | Yesmarket closed | $13 | 45c | first buy | 58 |
Senate control favorite on November 2? (opens in a new tab)
Settled. The result and the qualified picks come with the nightly update. Until then, this is what the top 200 wallets bought.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet in the top 200 of Us Midterms, with its place on that board. The top 50 come first, then the 51st to the 200th below a line. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet bought.
- Bought for
- What the wallet's buys on this side put in. What it held at the end is not read any more: Polymarket stops reporting a position once its market settles.
- Price
- The average price the wallet bought at, in cents.
- Bought
- When the wallet first bought, and when it last added to the position. In play means after the start. Where we never saw the buy, the row says how long we have seen it held.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Bought on this market | Settled markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet in the top 200 of Us Midterms, with its place on that board. The top 50 come first, then the 51st to the 200th below a line. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet bought. | Bought forWhat the wallet's buys on this side put in. What it held at the end is not read any more: Polymarket stops reporting a position once its market settles. | PriceThe average price the wallet bought at, in cents. | BoughtWhen the wallet first bought, and when it last added to the position. In play means after the start. Where we never saw the buy, the row says how long we have seen it held. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0x0a7a…df1b#8 on the board | Republican Partymarket closed | $45 | 2c | first buy added | 59 |
1 position not shown: 1 bought above 80c
Democratic Senate odds <60% on November 1? (opens in a new tab)
Settled. The result and the qualified picks come with the nightly update. Until then, this is what the top 200 wallets bought.
1 position not shown: 1 bought above 80c
Democratic Senate odds <60% on November 2? (opens in a new tab)
Settled. The result and the qualified picks come with the nightly update. Until then, this is what the top 200 wallets bought.
1 position not shown: 1 bought above 80c
Democratic Senate odds >68% on October 30? (opens in a new tab)
Settled more than a day ago, and the nightly update has not brought its result: we have not read this market yet, or no pick on it qualified. This is what the top 200 wallets bought.
1 position not shown: 1 worth under $10
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on November 2? (opens in a new tab)
Settled. The result and the qualified picks come with the nightly update. Until then, this is what the top 200 wallets bought.
1 position not shown: 1 bought above 80c
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 31? (opens in a new tab)
Settled more than a day ago, and the nightly update has not brought its result: we have not read this market yet, or no pick on it qualified. This is what the top 200 wallets bought.
1 position not shown: 1 bought above 80c
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on November 1? (opens in a new tab)
Settled. The result and the qualified picks come with the nightly update. Until then, this is what the top 200 wallets bought.
1 position not shown: 1 bought above 80c
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 31? (opens in a new tab)
Settled more than a day ago, and the nightly update has not brought its result: we have not read this market yet, or no pick on it qualified. This is what the top 200 wallets bought.
1 position not shown: 1 bought above 80c
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 31? (opens in a new tab)
Settled more than a day ago, and the nightly update has not brought its result: we have not read this market yet, or no pick on it qualified. This is what the top 200 wallets bought.
1 position not shown: 1 bought above 80c
6 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
10 other settled markets of this event are not shown: no top wallet of the time held a qualified pick on them.
About this page
A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.