TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeed8…35f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Golf, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.02
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$59.9
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.98
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30%+$74.43
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.27
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.86
Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.02
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$53.65
Will LaShonda "L.J." Holloway be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$10.73
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.15
Will Amanda Green be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+276%+$51.38
Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$13.95
Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$74.05
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$48.99
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$51.85
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+52%+$43.86
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$52.65
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$32.85
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.08
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+125.3%+$81.19
Will Yariv Levin win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$6.41
Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.03
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$43.59
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+445.5%+$479.4
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$248.56
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.76
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$51.03
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.34
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+172.3%+$101.88
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42%+$7.68
Will there be no next Transport Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$11.76
Will Ed Miliband be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
All 25 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6.72
Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+311.3%+$137
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.72
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.5
Will anyone say "Treason" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Chris Hemsworth appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will a trailer for God of War Laufey premiere at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.52
Will Simu Liu appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will a trailer for The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power Season 3 premiere at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.44
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.77
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.82
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.95
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.81
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$32.18
Will Spain record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Will the third-place match be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.4
Will France win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
Will the announcers say "Presence" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$108.54
Will Alejandro Del Rey finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.22
Will Kevin Roy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Pontus Nyholm finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.6
Will Ben Martin finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.2
Will Lanto Griffin finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.9
Will Danny Walker finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Will Taylor Montgomery finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Taylor Moore finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.04
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-64.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.91
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.69
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$3.1
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Musiclast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Eventbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$19.3
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+87.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.95
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$9.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montrealbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.34
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.