GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cb05dbee887c1704889cb5dd86ec06a35579a0f90bb4a5f50df0185636a9ac1

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $209,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $203,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,253 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x57f9…bcd9backed Yes	51c	17,497$8,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,934.04	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5d…7a01backed No	66c	16,966$11,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,704	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	78c	9,853$7,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,207.59	178	59.6%106 W · 72 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed No	37c	7,514$2,787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,727.67	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa173…3315backed No	70c	5,128$3,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,543.89	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d6…669bbacked Yes	66c	4,429$2,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,923.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd5…1dc7backed No	34c	4,336$1,474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,861.48	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed No	73c	4,290$3,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.42	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf04e…8a94backed Yes	73c	4,058$2,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,943.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ec…e26ebacked No	39c	3,877$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,377.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Yes	34c	3,772$1,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,277.46	130	23.8%31 W · 99 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…58bebacked Yes	38c	3,690$1,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,388.32	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x604a…a58ebacked Yes	47c	3,557$1,682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,682.45	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a2…54c2backed No	34c	3,461$1,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,292.65	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+41%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ff…5b03backed No	30c	3,394$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,378.63	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+7.9wins	+0.24per pick	37cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf5e7…7380backed No	36c	3,327$1,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,113.42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac6a…bc3cbacked Yes	64c	3,084$1,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,980.32	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	1c	3,037$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20e1…4fa1backed No	53c	3,000$1,603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,397	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a9…c9a2backed Yes	47c	3,000$1,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,397	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+1,138.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb23e…829abacked No	34c	2,935$1,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,923.94	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd959…2712backed Yes	64c	2,904$1,864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,864.44	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	43cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	74c	2,752$2,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$727.96	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4cb…ecb7backed Yes	37c	2,532$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03eb…d4babacked Yes	33c	2,139$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked No	51c	2,088$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.32	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf0…c5c4backed No	36c	2,071$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,324.56	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd10…fc0bbacked Yes	35c	2,056$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.71	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd220…f5edbacked Yes	28c	2,035$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.38	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36ca…f61abacked No	31c	1,787$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,236.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2e2…06fbbacked Yes	28c	1,600$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked No	72c	1,513$1,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.43	145	48.3%70 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac2b…f77ebacked Yes	32c	1,503$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No	32c	1,500$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	103	36.9%38 W · 65 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9154…df41backed Yes	25c	1,358$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd25a…739cbacked Yes	19c	1,341$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.61	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+285.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c90…5bacbacked Yes	14c	1,300$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7371…cadebacked No	70c	1,276$887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2f…7ccbbacked Yes	16c	1,201$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes	42c	1,200$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-66%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a5…24dfbacked Yes	24c	1,128$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.4	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab1c…35a7backed Yes	20c	1,081$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.91	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes	37c	1,072$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.08	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	20cpaid	-86.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0503…db3dbacked Yes	28c	999.99$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b0…372fbacked Yes	49c	988.11$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…b94abacked Yes	61c	985.99$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.89	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	25cpaid	-90.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbda5…ee3abacked Yes	18c	985.85$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Yes	63c	966.43$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.82	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb029…ae06backed No	30c	962.7$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.89	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f3…89e2backed Yes	24c	960.75$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.38	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…4723backed No	60c	959.99$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.57	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6944…7275backed No	26c	905.11$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.78	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1635…5624backed Yes	59c	903.67$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.17	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x87ad…de46backed No	34c	900$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d06…ec01backed Yes	71c	839.68$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.73	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No	31c	834.52$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.79	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+13.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a97…593dbacked Yes	49c	811.81$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.72	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-14.9wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No	33c	800$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536	155	39.4%61 W · 94 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes	23c	800$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	103	20.4%21 W · 82 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x333f…3cd6backed No	80c	781.01$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf53e…2728backed Yes	17c	768.21$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.59	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+107.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3484…a9fcbacked Yes	29c	762.42$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.85	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb799…e711backed Yes	70c	714.78$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.49	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	10c	713.98$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	154	1.9%3 W · 151 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…0906backed Yes	67c	694.34$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.15	59	74.6%44 W · 15 L	+12.8wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb719…de28backed Yes	68c	691.11$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.46	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	25c	680.02$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.76	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e6…c078backed Yes	17c	655.62$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.42	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2167…85cebacked Yes	44c	653.5$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.03	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes	9c	646$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.14	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	6c	630.97$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.72	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No	49c	620.83$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.49	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+166%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1084…d520backed Yes	30c	597$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.1	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5144…37c9backed No	32c	585.23$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+54.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes	31c	563.91$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.67	159	41.5%66 W · 93 L	+9.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5182…0120backed No	67c	555$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c38…4603backed No	30c	548.01$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.59	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8127…e121backed Yes	42c	528.98$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.01	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae6…d96abacked Yes	33c	528.92$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ab…fd92backed Yes	19c	524.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.75	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-57%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ef…f2e2backed No	54c	524.12$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa5…0e06backed Yes	29c	521.94$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No	67c	518.21$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.33	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	34cpaid	-85.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44eb…0f3dbacked No	54c	516.43$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf081…e561backed No	54c	504.33$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked No	36c	500$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5175…1546backed No	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b1…eb47backed Yes	43c	490.37$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.1	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+19%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0026…c6f4backed No	54c	490.28$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	32c	488.85$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.47	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd18d…e7b4backed No	52c	484.58$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.58	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-23%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae8…8c95backed Yes	33c	480.11$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.26	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78a…1d69backed Yes	63c	477.44$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9314…b8ebbacked Yes	42c	476.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes	65c	476.16$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.5	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa09b…071ebacked Yes	31c	467.5$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.13	74	18.9%14 W · 60 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9559…8bc2backed Yes	21c	466.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ba…10b8backed Yes	30c	461.97$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.01	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed No	66c	458.63$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.93	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3907…5d2ebacked No	32c	435.33$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.78	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+189.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?this page
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
GRVT FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes won
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes won
GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $450M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
GRVT FDV above $550M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event