TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab1c…35a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.91
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$122.15
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,619Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$1,049.6
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$151.85
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.85
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+226.5%+$208.11
Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.25
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$827.66
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.6
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$142.28
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.75
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,254.77
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$156.6
Will Paradex launch a token by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$71.47
Will Opinion launch a token on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.38
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$226.51
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-50.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.21
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$112.5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$299.51
Will Iran strike one country in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$279
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+163.6%+$343.47
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$362.9
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$634.55
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35%+$77.8
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$490.69
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+76.5%+$55.12
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$31.5
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$81.84
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+55.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid+36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+354.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+6,451.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+6,451.2%+$1,750.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$257.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+82.4%+$50.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+57.6%+$138.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+30.8%+$994.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$335
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.