Token Launches · resolved market
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0d2d5a8105285585697e092739d2968e8a135013af69f83771baaf0e0c07408
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,372,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,277,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,372,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 745 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf97e…0034backed Yes | 52c | 108,970$56,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,624.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.34per pick | 35cpaid | +185.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9564…3a32backed No | 38c | 107,232$41,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,252.33 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…90e9backed No | 0c | 50,424$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…749bbacked Yes | 53c | 42,360$22,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,793.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Yes | 48c | 34,461$16,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,062.93 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b1…216bbacked Yes | 73c | 33,849$24,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,196.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…1687backed Yes | 55c | 28,486$15,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,810.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 39c | 25,220$9,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,919.22 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…b42ebacked No | 12c | 24,687$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed Yes | 55c | 22,203$12,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,058.37 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…deb7backed No | 6c | 22,054$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 54c | 21,676$11,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,737.57 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked No | 41c | 18,679$7,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,737.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 35c | 18,000$6,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,285 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 43c | 17,693$7,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,608.19 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 42c | 17,000$7,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.44 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…8332backed No | 51c | 16,700$8,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,598.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…d65dbacked No | 34c | 15,853$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.57 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e1…97efbacked No | 56c | 15,174$8,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,485.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 57c | 14,619$8,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.12 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…5516backed No | 47c | 14,000$6,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,639.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 54c | 13,390$7,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,275.31 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…1450backed No | 50c | 13,360$6,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,680 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa87c…332ebacked Yes | 61c | 12,063$7,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…2dd9backed No | 52c | 12,056$6,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,211.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 11,761$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5df2backed No | 46c | 11,754$5,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,455.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 55c | 11,531$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.96 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca72…30cdbacked No | 34c | 11,500$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 8c | 11,421$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6eab…1c81backed No | 44c | 10,344$4,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,551.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 59c | 9,700$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.31 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…5e7fbacked Yes | 64c | 9,482$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…2be4backed No | 20c | 8,632$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.11 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aff…7035backed No | 41c | 8,517$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ad…8186backed No | 48c | 8,359$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…ac8fbacked Yes | 54c | 8,110$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,711.32 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…be6cbacked No | 28c | 7,980$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.87 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 47c | 7,949$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.15 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 55c | 7,641$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.79 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…c6c9backed Yes | 47c | 7,537$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed No | 30c | 6,989$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.01 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 54c | 6,710$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.24 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…3135backed No | 6c | 6,671$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…1f7bbacked Yes | 70c | 6,545$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked No | 25c | 6,470$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.05 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…3f6abacked No | 0c | 5,802$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…fbc2backed Yes | 64c | 5,755$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1c…3439backed Yes | 73c | 5,741$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.71 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7910…29e0backed No | 55c | 5,678$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 43c | 5,600$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…c869backed No | 55c | 5,599$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 42c | 5,555$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.42 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 70c | 5,469$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.95 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…b94ebacked Yes | 36c | 5,421$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.25 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece8…13fdbacked Yes | 43c | 5,245$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…f20dbacked No | 37c | 5,200$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e6…b3fdbacked Yes | 58c | 5,123$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.64 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…f99fbacked No | 48c | 5,001$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.36 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 54c | 4,976$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.02 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,899$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…9d95backed No | 50c | 4,874$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed No | 57c | 4,658$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.73 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…6ad2backed No | 53c | 4,540$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.53 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d81…4777backed No | 56c | 4,454$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac81…c181backed Yes | 62c | 4,331$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.82 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce2a…662ebacked Yes | 48c | 4,266$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed No | 46c | 4,189$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.52 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed Yes | 58c | 4,084$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.16 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…eecfbacked No | 47c | 3,541$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 43c | 3,500$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…81debacked No | 9c | 3,500$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.37 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed No | 42c | 3,343$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.9 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 57c | 3,306$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.34 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed No | 34c | 3,200$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked Yes | 62c | 3,083$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bf…80dabacked No | 49c | 3,050$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…b01ebacked Yes | 59c | 3,029$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…17b5backed Yes | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.34 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…c3cabacked No | 2c | 2,963$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…76f5backed Yes | 55c | 2,958$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +263.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b9…58a7backed Yes | 61c | 2,850$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed No | 38c | 2,800$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked No | 37c | 2,769$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.06 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…73c4backed No | 39c | 2,760$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f58…7f40backed No | 15c | 2,704$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…d047backed No | 56c | 2,694$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 52c | 2,693$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…ebaebacked No | 29c | 2,677$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.7 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 35c | 2,635$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.12 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed Yes | 41c | 2,600$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 17c | 2,589$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.16 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…59e5backed No | 32c | 2,570$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…1272backed Yes | 60c | 2,567$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 2,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 39c | 2,500$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…da40backed No | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…e382backed Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…2093backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?this page
- EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.