Token Launches · resolved market
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31936cd8f2b33f012e2c6b39815a0bd2d7aa28a05268ea03bd7bb564e7d9dd1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $767,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $879,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb376…ea30backed Yes | 1c | 21,808$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 9,970$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…105abacked Yes | 3c | 8,953$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b6…d759backed Yes | 2c | 8,712$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 69c | 6,332$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.24 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 6,182$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…e317backed No | 77c | 5,406$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.97 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +9.8wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 5,348$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.07 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…3105backed Yes | 0c | 5,070$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…c2adbacked Yes | 0c | 5,070$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…a6d4backed Yes | 0c | 5,070$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…176bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,065$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…c88fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,620$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 0c | 3,433$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 3,343$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf2…1502backed Yes | 0c | 3,275$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 74c | 3,148$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.17 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 3,027$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…ee17backed Yes | 7c | 2,737$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.23 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 64c | 2,723$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,523$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…b2c0backed No | 75c | 2,400$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…dc90backed Yes | 16c | 2,201$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…d0cfbacked Yes | 25c | 2,199$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…5585backed Yes | 33c | 2,066$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…5670backed Yes | 33c | 1,921$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…ecc9backed Yes | 32c | 1,873$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b10…0b49backed Yes | 33c | 1,873$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…5d18backed Yes | 30c | 1,867$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…a7f8backed Yes | 32c | 1,865$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833b…6a6abacked Yes | 33c | 1,862$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,829$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86b2…6bcebacked Yes | 33c | 1,829$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c4…bae0backed Yes | 33c | 1,819$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…43c3backed Yes | 34c | 1,812$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…4dccbacked Yes | 33c | 1,809$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…2727backed Yes | 33c | 1,779$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f05fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,754$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…a6e6backed Yes | 33c | 1,752$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…d031backed Yes | 23c | 1,750$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e06…2145backed Yes | 32c | 1,743$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…6c00backed Yes | 32c | 1,742$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…7bf4backed Yes | 31c | 1,740$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…f2d7backed Yes | 27c | 1,739$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…0edfbacked Yes | 34c | 1,735$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82db…b7d0backed Yes | 32c | 1,730$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…b0f8backed Yes | 23c | 1,729$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…7a3abacked Yes | 32c | 1,722$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…769abacked Yes | 33c | 1,713$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…daeabacked Yes | 33c | 1,706$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a62…39cdbacked Yes | 33c | 1,703$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36f…2843backed Yes | 34c | 1,701$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…8493backed Yes | 33c | 1,693$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e42backed Yes | 31c | 1,690$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…bd37backed Yes | 33c | 1,684$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…fa95backed Yes | 33c | 1,671$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…6511backed Yes | 32c | 1,661$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e2b1backed Yes | 32c | 1,655$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…f3ebbacked Yes | 33c | 1,646$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8d…5694backed Yes | 33c | 1,636$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…c6d0backed Yes | 31c | 1,631$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…95cfbacked Yes | 32c | 1,607$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…3339backed Yes | 33c | 1,604$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3e…3004backed Yes | 33c | 1,601$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…267ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,599$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…de98backed Yes | 32c | 1,587$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…56b5backed Yes | 33c | 1,583$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…3102backed Yes | 33c | 1,577$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9953…e429backed Yes | 33c | 1,576$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…86dfbacked Yes | 32c | 1,549$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…78b1backed Yes | 28c | 1,517$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…6955backed Yes | 32c | 1,510$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…a175backed Yes | 31c | 1,477$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 69c | 1,457$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…3e33backed Yes | 30c | 1,391$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e6…d64bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,341$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…24bebacked Yes | 31c | 1,337$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…079abacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…9165backed Yes | 29c | 1,291$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 1,280$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…2e2ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,256$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…8b81backed Yes | 32c | 1,230$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe5…0f58backed Yes | 7c | 1,214$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…2a43backed Yes | 31c | 1,213$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e36cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,190$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…6205backed Yes | 20c | 1,187$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 1,185$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7f…253fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,173$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…2674backed Yes | 17c | 1,171$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96e…c6dcbacked Yes | 26c | 1,149$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6577…fa94backed Yes | 20c | 1,148$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…085abacked Yes | 30c | 1,124$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…26fdbacked No | 80c | 1,102$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…6378backed No | 67c | 1,095$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…79e4backed Yes | 30c | 1,092$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…a6abbacked No | 67c | 1,091$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…40bbbacked No | 66c | 1,091$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…1b1cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,087$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…1a32backed No | 66c | 1,086$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?this page
- EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes won
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.