TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6d6…58f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Us Politics at 50 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-67.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+812.4%+$121.86
Will Alexandre Dupalais win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.01
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hyperlend FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Infinex FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mohammad Hadi Ghazanfari Khansari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.81
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.67
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.