TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$360,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8b3…4484backed Yes1c32,735$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.628224.4%20 W · 62 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c21,182$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.73631.6%1 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick2cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aae…7efcbacked Yes0c8,311$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,513$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.925327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5b…0f93backed Yes5c3,268$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes2c3,196$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.94130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b5…d249backed Yes1c3,019$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.066830.9%21 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes0c3,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147821.8%17 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef8f…f5f9backed Yes2c2,714$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b44…264ebacked Yes2c2,683$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.921844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes4c2,500$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed Yes6c2,418$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508936%32 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1891…c4a5backed Yes2c2,321$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d83…f54cbacked Yes2c2,074$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d0…4990backed Yes2c2,063$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf8…f4a2backed Yes2c2,037$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed Yes1c2,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+640.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33e5…7c6ebacked Yes3c1,874$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff0…d4e9backed Yes3c1,858$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a08…0eecbacked Yes1c1,817$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-73.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes1c1,638$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…c5adbacked Yes1c1,620$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c39…a1cabacked Yes3c1,562$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6993…c79abacked Yes1c1,561$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c1,512$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.99535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf173…9623backed Yes2c1,508$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes3c1,500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54214.3%6 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c68…fafebacked Yes3c1,482$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…fe52backed Yes1c1,344$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.841010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-86.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8903…0dc2backed Yes1c1,326$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778b…808ebacked Yes1c1,295$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf2…fe7abacked Yes3c1,293$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x030d…3054backed Yes2c1,277$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a01…8286backed Yes3c1,257$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f5…3c0bbacked Yes2c1,247$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56aa…b9c9backed Yes2c1,236$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x573e…3324backed Yes3c1,223$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x002c…8c0bbacked Yes8c1,218$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x131a…73f9backed Yes4c1,209$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0965…ac46backed Yes2c1,205$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes1c1,198$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d97…d3a9backed Yes3c1,191$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe2…0f84backed Yes2c1,179$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes1c1,169$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96180%0 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd538…ca67backed Yes3c1,154$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5a…beeebacked Yes2c1,150$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes1c1,116$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.98156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9383…ddb7backed Yes3c1,112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48c8…b981backed Yes3c1,072$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd438…ce1abacked Yes3c1,067$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes3c1,060$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.22544%11 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+68.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda94…9409backed Yes2c1,059$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0af…8c47backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ece…35d2backed Yes3c979$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd166…3d9fbacked Yes3c972$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf96a…de5dbacked Yes2c959$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x492a…1754backed Yes3c938$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x393d…1e7abacked Yes3c897$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a5…7d8dbacked Yes3c896$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes3c843.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.051039.7%10 W · 93 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0a…643abacked Yes1c836.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4240%0 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd299…b988backed Yes3c827$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaeb…15f8backed Yes2c817$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed Yes14c799.3$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.64847.9%23 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ee1…a751backed Yes3c798$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…2e9ebacked Yes2c737$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…2bf7backed Yes3c728$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9e…3222backed Yes3c711$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf69…f142backed Yes3c711$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x853c…bd03backed Yes12c700.63$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.641241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x941f…edbdbacked Yes1c692.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…bde5backed Yes3c689$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes2c684.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec5…b6febacked Yes9c681.87$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.12556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x178b…0355backed Yes3c666$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…d21fbacked Yes2c662$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b0…8a31backed Yes3c655$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b3d…b77fbacked Yes3c640$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd65e…b04bbacked Yes2c631$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd870…1aa4backed Yes3c628$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes3c621.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.16714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid-58.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f65…3924backed Yes3c616$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes2c600$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4432.3%1 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…7bfebacked Yes3c590$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf331…5017backed Yes2c577$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4004…0972backed Yes3c533$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88e8…5829backed Yes2c532$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe153…db7dbacked Yes3c532$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c3…f30ebacked Yes3c528$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588e…bfcfbacked Yes2c528$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Yes2c500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes3c499$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.978711.5%10 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes4c487.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.69128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes4c473.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.644920.4%10 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdb…2cffbacked Yes3c456$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes3c445.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.621302.3%3 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4928…1310backed Yes3c436$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…60c2backed Yes10c434.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.39520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd8…c58bbacked Yes3c428$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed Yes5c399.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-81.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.