TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$409,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8b3…4484backed Yes1c25,571$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.748224.4%20 W · 62 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c13,586$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.12631.6%1 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick2cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes0c11,417$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b5…d249backed Yes1c9,368$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.156830.9%21 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff6f…32b3backed Yes0c5,780$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Yes0c5,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a6…8651backed Yes0c4,999$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2650%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae5…2f9bbacked Yes3c4,002$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes7c3,446$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.431241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick17cpaid+187.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0a5…bd13backed Yes3c3,266$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab6e…d0d4backed Yes4c3,043$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e8…2765backed Yes3c2,892$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…d2b1backed Yes4c2,724$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes3c2,483$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.15180%0 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b5f…bc51backed Yes4c2,428$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee1…a751backed Yes4c2,178$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcebc…85d7backed Yes4c2,166$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed6…4371backed Yes1c2,139$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6f…635fbacked Yes3c2,037$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cab…d64dbacked Yes3c2,035$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591f…945bbacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000d…3e08backed Yes4c1,960$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf117…5e0dbacked Yes3c1,905$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2cb…80a2backed Yes3c1,887$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,861$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.675327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94ae…aeadbacked Yes3c1,819$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a87…b810backed Yes3c1,791$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a90…3879backed Yes4c1,750$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe624…04a3backed Yes3c1,731$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd436…440cbacked Yes4c1,725$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4e…886ebacked Yes4c1,683$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x492a…1754backed Yes4c1,677$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a08…0eecbacked Yes2c1,672$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.46128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-73.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a29…f3cfbacked Yes4c1,645$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33f1…a493backed Yes3c1,601$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e86…1f72backed Yes3c1,587$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes2c1,585$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.27535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6601…740dbacked Yes3c1,573$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x179d…d648backed Yes2c1,530$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes1c1,493$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.561074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a1…dd72backed Yes2c1,486$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.457356.2%41 W · 32 L+14.4wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+58.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa21b…dff6backed Yes4c1,469$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5b…2363backed Yes3c1,466$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4be…ccb3backed Yes4c1,458$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0c…217cbacked Yes4c1,456$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89d…2da3backed Yes4c1,450$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb704…e904backed Yes3c1,440$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b3…5bfabacked Yes2c1,427$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222814.3%4 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c38…2000backed Yes3c1,412$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes2c1,404$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.235722.8%13 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a89…7e3cbacked Yes4c1,383$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb80d…2bc8backed Yes3c1,382$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f31…cdd3backed Yes4c1,346$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1128…cfa5backed Yes6c1,345$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.08336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick9cpaid+28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…fe52backed Yes1c1,339$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.351010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-86.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a13…b10fbacked Yes2c1,300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+241.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb5…7588backed Yes4c1,288$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7666…f21bbacked Yes2c1,287$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299a…8606backed Yes3c1,267$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes2c1,246$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.651302.3%3 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d2…e5bdbacked Yes4c1,229$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x395a…e221backed Yes4c1,145$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0711…f03cbacked Yes2c1,099$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9210426%27 W · 77 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec9…62d4backed Yes3c1,058$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes1c1,057$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.79432.3%1 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dfe…2ab5backed Yes3c1,038$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a37…7bc8backed Yes2c1,027$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0d…75a5backed Yes3c1,027$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf029…3d82backed Yes3c951$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bdd…9fe1backed Yes3c925$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1cf…db68backed Yes3c922$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes2c905.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.01130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d7…78b4backed Yes3c903$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f59…58fcbacked Yes3c902$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…2db2backed Yes2c900$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7593…56cbbacked Yes3c887$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3687…fce2backed Yes3c874$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes2c842.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdffd…27eabacked Yes3c831$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cf…829abacked Yes3c817$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170c…bde5backed Yes3c809$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e5…f14abacked Yes3c800$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc971…a31dbacked Yes3c791$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes6c789.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.131039.7%10 W · 93 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c778.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.681432.1%3 W · 140 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-72.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0237…6a88backed Yes2c771$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c8…6dbfbacked Yes2c763$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ec…7c5abacked Yes2c753$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12c…4c03backed Yes3c750$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes2c747.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.918510.6%9 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d05…37a3backed Yes3c737$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82fd…ccb7backed Yes3c702$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb731…022dbacked Yes1c686.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1686…712dbacked Yes2c671$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd640…480cbacked Yes2c639$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6959…5575backed Yes2c610$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60e…f159backed Yes3c603$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f74…da44backed Yes3c599$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a6…0fe6backed Yes3c554$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf5…2110backed Yes2c538$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.