Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54904e2a225c195eeb6984d417a222264fe9cc7f64b90449853b7499f1d8679a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 19,244$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 2c | 15,123$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.04 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…eb49backed Yes | 3c | 13,000$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fe00backed Yes | 1c | 9,703$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5b80backed Yes | 5c | 8,013$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,813$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…b7c9backed Yes | 1c | 7,030$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…cc48backed Yes | 1c | 7,030$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 5,220$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…773bbacked Yes | 6c | 5,021$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,900$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 5c | 4,858$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e85…80c1backed Yes | 7c | 4,348$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 3c | 3,793$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,746$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…17b0backed Yes | 5c | 3,646$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…ed3ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,481$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba9…cb2cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,382$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,197$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…1543backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +438%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…1fa1backed Yes | 3c | 2,915$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 2,810$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…4e01backed Yes | 4c | 2,763$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0a…a2c5backed Yes | 4c | 2,673$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,579$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…68afbacked Yes | 4c | 2,485$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec2…5a6dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,242$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…7f61backed Yes | 4c | 2,221$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,178$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…ced2backed Yes | 3c | 2,107$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bf…6a05backed Yes | 3c | 2,088$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…169abacked Yes | 3c | 1,980$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…4a05backed Yes | 3c | 1,904$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…5f55backed Yes | 3c | 1,854$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 1,810$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…1563backed Yes | 5c | 1,786$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c0…3b4ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,784$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…e3c6backed Yes | 1c | 1,767$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…c0b9backed Yes | 4c | 1,734$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…ba02backed Yes | 7c | 1,733$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…09b6backed Yes | 2c | 1,713$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…2cfabacked Yes | 2c | 1,706$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…fd2bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,697$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…1596backed Yes | 2c | 1,623$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…b25abacked Yes | 3c | 1,571$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…3924backed Yes | 3c | 1,559$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 3c | 1,550$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 3c | 1,538$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…480ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,537$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…1cf7backed Yes | 4c | 1,534$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…5645backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…5575backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…db53backed Yes | 3c | 1,463$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…0eecbacked Yes | 2c | 1,440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…bcc6backed Yes | 4c | 1,405$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…3a92backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e55…c09dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,349$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 5c | 1,345$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 4c | 1,320$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…8aacbacked Yes | 3c | 1,280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…a226backed Yes | 4c | 1,258$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…5655backed Yes | 4c | 1,257$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…0dc2backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bd…6563backed Yes | 4c | 1,245$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…26d1backed Yes | 10c | 1,242$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,236$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…e5bdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,234$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…9981backed Yes | 3c | 1,188$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…7304backed Yes | 4c | 1,167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…c177backed Yes | 4c | 1,161$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c6…eaefbacked Yes | 4c | 1,161$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…5b13backed Yes | 4c | 1,157$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…2c94backed Yes | 4c | 1,145$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…e352backed Yes | 4c | 1,127$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…50c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,124$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…c822backed Yes | 4c | 1,094$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…7833backed Yes | 4c | 1,077$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…f878backed Yes | 1c | 1,062$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,033$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…c9a0backed Yes | 2c | 1,030$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…945bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,026$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 3c | 993.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…d6cdbacked Yes | 4c | 966.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…7a87backed Yes | 4c | 949$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…4ab0backed Yes | 4c | 937.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 906.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4903…0242backed Yes | 4c | 901$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…ce12backed Yes | 4c | 877$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…be2abacked Yes | 4c | 767$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…8552backed Yes | 4c | 759$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ea…1a3ebacked Yes | 3c | 732.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 722.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…4193backed Yes | 4c | 720.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…35f0backed Yes | 4c | 700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 2c | 670.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?this page
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.