TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e66…41e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
350
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
32

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Commodities at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT486.3%3 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+132.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.63
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.31
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT420%0 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.71
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.45
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.23
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT350%0 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.67
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.24
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.78
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.42
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.47
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.13
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.15
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.95
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.59
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.54
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58.79
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT230%0 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.68
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.33
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.34
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.58
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.29
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.54
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.08
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.07
All 23 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+146.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.04
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+5,073.7%+$523.17
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.44
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.14
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.48
Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.54
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.73
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.32
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.79
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.87
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.54
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.76
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.62
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.47
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.32
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.13
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will Solana dip to $40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.64
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.15
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.42
Will Solana dip to $30 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.74
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.63
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.94
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.51
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.74
Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.14
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.12
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.76
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick2cpaid+208.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+2,989.3%+$393.97
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.68
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.08
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid-29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PARIVISION win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.