Movies · resolved market
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x512ced1584beb41cb6dacdaa92f5d67f8bee28f055ef63b251d20a446422ddaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,567 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 18,395$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.02 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 15,709$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 145 | 5.5%8 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…e4a6backed Yes | 4c | 13,075$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.46 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…d5fdbacked Yes | 2c | 9,484$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 1c | 7,777$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 7,721$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 6,190$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.86 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 4c | 6,116$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 13c | 6,058$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.61 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f54…e40abacked Yes | 2c | 4,588$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,584$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd22d…a49cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,285$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 8c | 4,211$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.19 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c43…e2a4backed Yes | 1c | 3,812$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 3,039$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…bdb6backed Yes | 1c | 3,024$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 16c | 2,961$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.19 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,959$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48f…57d1backed Yes | 2c | 2,711$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c79…14e4backed Yes | 1c | 2,656$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf335…2888backed Yes | 1c | 2,476$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…7009backed Yes | 1c | 2,351$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b0…bad9backed Yes | 1c | 2,281$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…e8fdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,202$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…8679backed Yes | 1c | 2,197$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 2,186$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 1c | 2,171$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,168$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…12d5backed Yes | 1c | 2,142$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…3364backed Yes | 1c | 2,110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 5c | 2,104$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…c83ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,096$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked Yes | 7c | 2,041$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…855bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 12c | 1,961$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.21 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd103…dc55backed Yes | 1c | 1,816$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…1164backed Yes | 2c | 1,653$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…1f4fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,601$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…8ee0backed Yes | 2c | 1,574$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,572$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd093…e2dbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,566$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Yes | 1c | 1,549$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 3c | 1,473$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…edacbacked Yes | 6c | 1,468$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…993cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,464$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 7c | 1,417$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,389$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Yes | 15c | 1,380$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Yes | 2c | 1,369$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f3…0a43backed Yes | 1c | 1,364$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…c716backed Yes | 1c | 1,344$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…5281backed Yes | 2c | 1,288$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,266$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4878…5760backed Yes | 1c | 1,177$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,096$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 3c | 1,089$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…1c54backed Yes | 7c | 1,080$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…1fa9backed Yes | 1c | 1,052$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…6fb6backed Yes | 2c | 1,038$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…3786backed Yes | 2c | 1,029$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…2d02backed Yes | 1c | 1,026$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…ad9abacked Yes | 1c | 1,016$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…6cbebacked Yes | 2c | 1,013$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 12c | 984.82$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c15…443fbacked Yes | 1c | 980$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c1…4e0ebacked Yes | 1c | 964$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…bfd4backed Yes | 1c | 958$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…75c4backed Yes | 1c | 927$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…a8b0backed Yes | 1c | 925.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…99d4backed Yes | 1c | 920.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…7f28backed Yes | 1c | 896$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…8935backed Yes | 1c | 881$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…ff43backed Yes | 1c | 873$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…00a7backed Yes | 2c | 873$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…fb56backed Yes | 1c | 853$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 842.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…1d95backed Yes | 1c | 840$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…3d5bbacked Yes | 2c | 831.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 1c | 826.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 821$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…9bc6backed Yes | 2c | 812.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 803.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…e2e7backed Yes | 2c | 760.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 7c | 749.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…64c2backed Yes | 2c | 749$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 742.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa749…6a65backed Yes | 28c | 742$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…cb20backed Yes | 6c | 740.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…d788backed Yes | 3c | 737.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…39a6backed Yes | 2c | 729$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620f…98bfbacked Yes | 2c | 718$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…8247backed Yes | 2c | 718$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 2c | 704$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…e7d2backed Yes | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…4b63backed Yes | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…b8efbacked Yes | 3c | 673$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…244ebacked Yes | 3c | 667$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9a…80a3backed Yes | 2c | 651$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 8c | 644.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Adam Sandler win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Akira Emoto win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Diego Luna win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jack O'Connell win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jonathan Bailey win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Miles Caton win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Peter Dinklage win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sean Bean win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.