TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8aac…0e7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
912
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst IPO at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT45627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 456 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$32.28
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.75
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$344.42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.81
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.87
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.06
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Will David Raya win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.81
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$72
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+178.9%+$398.06
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$49.61
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.48
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203.1%+$63.9
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.84
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$811.97
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$11.7
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
Showing 25 of 456 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5937.3%22 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.55
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.78
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.58
Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$8.45
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.76
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+84%+$62.24
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.07
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$89.66
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$19.72
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$94.77
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$53.33
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$79.58
Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.52
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.2%+$15.09
Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$41.87
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37%+$137.29
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$151.81
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$46.08
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$575.94
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,960 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$38.07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,040 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$60.84
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+56.5%+$245.36
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$61.17
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4450%22 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.6
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$61.2
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.78
LoL: Francesinhas vs Bubliki (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stagebacked Bubliki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+318.1%+$59.34
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.65
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$18.7
LoL: Conviction vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs LUA Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LUA Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.23
LoL: UB Alma Mater vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$29.52
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.54
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Senshi Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$43.2
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5)backed Zeu5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.6
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,796.84
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.27
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$86.25
Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.38
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$99.42
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$454.31
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$861.32
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.24
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.28
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.85
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+55%+$34.95
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.8
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083.18
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+226.4%+$627.03
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$595.35
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.32
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.08
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.37
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$633.42
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.79
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.48
Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.81
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.08
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.72
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.62
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35.43
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$636.18
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.6%+$8.01
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$33.97
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.52
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38.99
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$14.37
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$28.69
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$102.83
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$72.29
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$42.1
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+571.1%+$1,055.93
Will Silver (SI) settle at $82.5-$85 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$203.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+87.6%+$165.76
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+107.2%+$17.59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50.81
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25.5%+$113.1
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70.01
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$297.48
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.72
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$45.54
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$65.88
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$30.45
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.94
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$51.68
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+60%+$60
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+99.9%+$23.3
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$42.29
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.04
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$31.04
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
All 23 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+1,137.9%+$123.63
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$12.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.18
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+80%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.38
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.98
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+247.6%+$50.57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$23.11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$7.13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$8.12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.34
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.1%+$157.57
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$10.72
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.86
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.44
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$19.55
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.58
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$17.82
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
MOUZ to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.12
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$106.86
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team Falcons (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Poor Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Level UP (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.14
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$42.28
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+170.3%+$19.53
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+205.7%+$89.77
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30.71
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$8.07
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$24.49
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$13.4
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$556.68
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$66.55
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$26.53
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.4%+$9.11
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.75
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40.63
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.06
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$46.97
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.07
Nets vs. Thunderbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.62
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+65.6%+$27.74
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.99
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$204.51
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.7%+$28.11
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$78.12
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+340.9%+$57.22
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$24.79
Will Damian Lillard win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22.52
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+566.7%+$678.73
All 22 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-82.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.19
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$34.43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.48
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.95
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$740.92
Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.36
Will Claude win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$84.37
Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35.96
Will DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Will Grok win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$112.1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$92.28
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$66.46
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$695.46
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.13
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21.57
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$38.07
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.32
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60.57
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.47
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$63.36
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+122.6%+$165.97
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.66
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$443.54
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+91.8%+$175.38
Will BNB reach $1000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$18.37
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.5%+$403.08
Will BNB reach $1100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.08
Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.34
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$181.52
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$70.8
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+36.7%+$384.92
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$889.01
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+42.1%+$172.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$84.11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.8%+$27.84
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,643.92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,841Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,840.85
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42.49
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,955Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+83%+$3,280.72
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+240.5%+$85.46
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$106.95
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.58
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+39.2%+$62.99
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.8%+$161.49
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,088Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.7%+$1,360.77
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$44.72
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$73.79
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+69.5%+$28.09
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$249.34
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.11
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.6%+$76.39
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.12
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$113.27
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+466.2%+$342.11
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$161.27
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.69
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$110.46
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$137.97
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.85
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.47
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.27
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$290.55
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.3%+$617.83
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$283.93
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+48.1%+$155.83
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+225%+$85.5
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$69.72
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36.23
Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.65
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.75
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.26
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+30.2%+$14.27
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$105.78
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$191.99
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+77%+$26.1
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.97
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.5
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$41.92
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.6
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$58.8
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,519Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$1,192.12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,666Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$457.99
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$53.07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$122.83
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.03
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$523.37
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,044Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25.1%+$512.74
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$31.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$31.86
Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$3.7
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.56
Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$48.71
Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$34.25
Will Noah FA win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$47.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-85.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$43.58
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$78.8
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46.45
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$236.01
Will The Marías win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.94
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.2%+$159.51
Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-74.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.84
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.7
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,023.3
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$30.78
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$104.44
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$347.82
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$313.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+671.8%+$68.76
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,510.68
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$359.37
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$54.73
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$187.92
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,413.13
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+54.4%+$360.05
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-78%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+87%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-72%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+364.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEOM SC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$46.66
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Yunnan Yukun FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.9
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$63.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$12.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.