TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FaZeof EYEBALLERS, FaZe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$390,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed FaZe54c32,168$17,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,846.8812348.8%60 W · 63 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed EYEBALLERS39c23,125$8,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,986.7112353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed EYEBALLERS38c21,288$8,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,073.961,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked EYEBALLERS39c11,987$4,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,662.2441040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked FaZe57c9,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90013354.9%73 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked EYEBALLERS36c8,248$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.431,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FaZe79c6,795$5,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.744957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FaZe52c6,292$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.4632552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c2…421bbacked FaZe78c5,397$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.667057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked EYEBALLERS49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9438358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FaZe35c4,550$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.017,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FaZe67c4,498$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.71,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed FaZe77c3,589$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.898670.9%61 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed EYEBALLERS39c3,441$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.3640264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed EYEBALLERS33c3,192$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.3536446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FaZe65c2,607$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.022,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed FaZe65c2,500$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88561948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FaZe61c2,455$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.481,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked EYEBALLERS38c2,426$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.421,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked FaZe68c2,028$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.0646165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked EYEBALLERS50c1,983$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed EYEBALLERS21c1,969$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.132,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed FaZe79c1,899$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.244551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed FaZe43c1,880$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.511149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FaZe56c1,780$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.312,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed EYEBALLERS34c1,778$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.641,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked EYEBALLERS40c1,671$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.881,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x322e…ef2cbacked EYEBALLERS33c1,560$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed EYEBALLERS51c1,521$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77035839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed EYEBALLERS49c1,382$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.355,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FaZe69c1,309$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.535,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed EYEBALLERS46c1,250$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5752,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked EYEBALLERS34c1,222$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9440253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed EYEBALLERS39c1,173$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.4588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed EYEBALLERS75c1,100$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8255563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed EYEBALLERS34c1,100$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed EYEBALLERS23c1,089$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.272139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EYEBALLERS51c1,074$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.526,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed FaZe43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5707844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed EYEBALLERS57c999.66$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.112,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a2…c1c2backed FaZe63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.385151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked FaZe68c899.98$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9922266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8429…06ebbacked EYEBALLERS43c860$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked EYEBALLERS38c847.59$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.732,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed EYEBALLERS74c829.14$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.620562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c8…a814backed FaZe61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.679951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b4…7f09backed EYEBALLERS70c817.19$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.841457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed FaZe50c804.65$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.3325355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked EYEBALLERS37c792.19$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1625846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b50…fd61backed FaZe72c780$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.42343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FaZe65c764.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.381,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed EYEBALLERS10c750.47$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.819057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FaZe35c750$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FaZe66c749.5$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.831,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked EYEBALLERS34c742.68$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.313,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed EYEBALLERS49c710.13$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35015150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed EYEBALLERS34c694.74$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.218353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked FaZe51c682.35$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.356442.2%27 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed FaZe40c681.34$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.2289046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked FaZe77c651.34$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3419357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9f36backed EYEBALLERS33c634$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.222850%14 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed FaZe55c628.6$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.316271%44 W · 18 L+12.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed EYEBALLERS9c616.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.853732.4%12 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FaZe70c610.4$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.532,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed EYEBALLERS61c605$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.054949%24 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed EYEBALLERS34c590$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.66446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked EYEBALLERS38c584.99$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.619741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked EYEBALLERS35c557.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19516248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed FaZe65c556.13$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3521135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed EYEBALLERS5c555.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3957322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671c…d56ebacked FaZe54c550$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked FaZe33c536.72$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.622241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked FaZe42c535.95$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.9514544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked EYEBALLERS31c530.65$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.522447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked EYEBALLERS40c515.46$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.184546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked FaZe59c513.4$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.6810457.7%60 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed FaZe65c501$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3511849.2%58 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed FaZe65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1757152.1%37 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed FaZe60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.055446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed EYEBALLERS32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed FaZe77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1154553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed EYEBALLERS34c498.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.234344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed EYEBALLERS32c495$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4323949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed EYEBALLERS8c470.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.511,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed EYEBALLERS23c457.7$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.392,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked FaZe56c450$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1987360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed FaZe35c447$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4651446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed EYEBALLERS33c445.45$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14759343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbb…2e57backed FaZe67c423.65$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.033073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FaZe45c421.82$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.91,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed EYEBALLERS60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked EYEBALLERS33c408.11$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7844747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked EYEBALLERS37c407$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.293,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked EYEBALLERS50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014940.3%60 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed EYEBALLERS36c395.64$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3526624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked FaZe51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1619546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed FaZe52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6213147.3%62 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FaZe36c380$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2422,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FaZe36c380$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.962,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344e…019ebacked EYEBALLERS8c380$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.210014%14 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.