TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa6c…a9b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,261
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1,163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$190.3
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.66
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.37
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Phantom (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$241.44
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Nemiga (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$134.12
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$860
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$880
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$1,088.63
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,080
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,040
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,963.92
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,915.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,974.8
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,400
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$481
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$1,215.49
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,018.79
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,016Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,184
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$816.9
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$359.29
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.12
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$255
Showing 25 of 1,163 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.05
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$2,692.86
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$1,319.21
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,983.23
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,569.23
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$1,669.99
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,054.05
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$2,030.7
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$231.72
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+290.3%+$1,056.77
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$650.67
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$941.63
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+113%+$564.77
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$690.48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.66
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.26
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$680
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.74
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.54
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.72
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.68
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.78
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$179.68
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.84
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$957.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$326.82
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$494.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$775.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.