CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e7a6a3c1192ae93c75e3899e7ac2ccc986fa8c43a32a86e9f9720a0d89b12e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $976,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,173,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $976,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b1d…76a0backed paiN | 60c | 84,592$50,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,705.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…fb57backed paiN | 62c | 47,404$29,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,912.78 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed paiN | 49c | 32,396$15,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,458.11 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Astralis | 48c | 28,838$13,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,923.32 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Astralis | 51c | 24,432$12,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,460.25 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Astralis | 55c | 19,246$10,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,550.05 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 40c | 18,048$7,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150.93 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 44c | 14,369$6,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,277.1 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 36c | 13,205$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.59 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Astralis | 49c | 11,165$5,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,462.9 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked paiN | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Astralis | 37c | 7,757$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.77 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 32c | 7,401$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.56 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed paiN | 52c | 7,260$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.96 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Astralis | 47c | 7,254$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.01 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Astralis | 51c | 7,000$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 37c | 6,774$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.25 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 38c | 6,512$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.97 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked Astralis | 41c | 6,240$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.01 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed paiN | 68c | 6,211$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.56 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed paiN | 48c | 6,209$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.45 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Astralis | 50c | 5,678$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed paiN | 51c | 5,250$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.5 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed paiN | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Astralis | 51c | 4,877$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.73 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed paiN | 69c | 4,467$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.87 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked paiN | 49c | 4,278$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.41 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed paiN | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Astralis | 51c | 3,859$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.09 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Astralis | 53c | 3,629$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…2cf8backed paiN | 50c | 3,622$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Astralis | 40c | 3,487$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked paiN | 51c | 3,366$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.03 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Astralis | 38c | 3,300$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Astralis | 49c | 3,000$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Astralis | 47c | 2,953$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 42c | 2,851$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.99 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 33c | 2,641$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.5 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Astralis | 50c | 2,627$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.52 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Astralis | 29c | 2,453$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.93 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN | 54c | 2,452$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.34 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Astralis | 54c | 2,432$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.57 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked paiN | 69c | 2,347$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.25 | 446 | 57.2%255 W · 191 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed Astralis | 39c | 2,305$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.45 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed paiN | 47c | 2,282$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.97 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Astralis | 37c | 2,173$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.74 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed paiN | 50c | 2,159$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.16 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Astralis | 41c | 2,136$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed paiN | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed paiN | 50c | 2,002$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.96 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed paiN | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…6ca7backed Astralis | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 52c | 1,898$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.06 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed paiN | 43c | 1,852$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.06 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Astralis | 50c | 1,750$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.5 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Astralis | 48c | 1,585$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.83 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Astralis | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…08b7backed Astralis | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis | 51c | 1,469$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.01 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed paiN | 55c | 1,463$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.18 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked paiN | 67c | 1,453$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.19 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 49c | 1,358$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.88 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis | 52c | 1,301$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.78 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked paiN | 38c | 1,291$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.48 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked paiN | 59c | 1,260$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.8 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Astralis | 56c | 1,250$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.73 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN | 50c | 1,234$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.14 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Astralis | 51c | 1,212$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.75 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked paiN | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Astralis | 50c | 1,183$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.94 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked paiN | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked paiN | 47c | 1,136$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.59 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…1c7dbacked paiN | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Astralis | 29c | 1,079$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.04 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Astralis | 51c | 1,077$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis | 32c | 1,072$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN | 55c | 1,023$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.49 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Astralis | 38c | 1,011$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Astralis | 39c | 1,000$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.85 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed paiN | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Astralis | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed paiN | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed paiN | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Astralis | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 43c | 999.9$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.73 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed paiN | 39c | 971.97$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Astralis | 50c | 959.14$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.57 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Astralis | 26c | 938.15$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.54 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed paiN | 49c | 920.75$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.75 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 35c | 920.21$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.35 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 49c | 919.95$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.13 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Astralis | 40c | 910.38$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.27 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Astralis | 52c | 903.54$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.84 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…3fdabacked paiN | 71c | 894.37$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked paiN | 45c | 888.84$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.84 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed Astralis | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed paiN | 65c | 871.52$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…4f84backed Astralis | 35c | 851.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked paiN | 47c | 848.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.37 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Astralis | 49c | 845.61$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.4 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.