CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa25736084db4602ea236b94c21591fab992fdbfd10e600345fb5c31de81958b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Over | 51c | 9,858$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 4,013$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.49 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Over | 50c | 2,931$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 499 | 52.3%261 W · 238 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 1,261$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.3 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 49c | 1,250$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.5 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…e26abacked Over | 51c | 1,174$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.65 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed Under | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.89 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Under | 49c | 882.74$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.14 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 49c | 814.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.55 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 750$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 593.3$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.44 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 52c | 500.1$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.05 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 499.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.3 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Over | 47c | 451.06$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.06 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 384$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 279 | 54.1%151 W · 128 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 51c | 358.31$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 78c | 313.19$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…08a5backed Under | 20c | 290.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Under | 50c | 221.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 214.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 206.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…4c18backed Over | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Under | 9c | 200.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 74c | 175.82$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 43c | 175.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 229 | 38.4%88 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 24c | 148.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…f34abacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 305 | 59.3%181 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 51c | 96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 590 | 44.9%265 W · 325 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 34c | 85.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…f1dcbacked Over | 60c | 83.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 50c | 77.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Under | 48c | 75.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…3762backed Over | 52c | 75.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 62.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 403 | 41.7%168 W · 235 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Over | 66c | 61.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 19c | 58.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 316 | 40.2%127 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 50c | 56.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 395 | 38.7%153 W · 242 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 34c | 55.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 358 | 41.6%149 W · 209 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 48c | 52.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 45c | 50.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 178 | 64.6%115 W · 63 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 48c | 39.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 39c | 35.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 33c | 34.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…c546backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Over | 70c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…d7f4backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 61c | 21.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…fd9ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.