CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fb5bcb012a4d86140609abc2c5b6d37b2d19fae8477c02cd07900927a50a678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof paiN, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,097,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,214,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,097,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked paiN | 44c | 60,320$26,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,496.36 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…76a0backed Astralis | 71c | 29,120$20,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,308.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed paiN | 36c | 24,427$8,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,688.17 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Astralis | 72c | 24,313$17,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,894.44 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Astralis | 55c | 23,044$12,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,316.35 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed paiN | 41c | 20,326$8,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,291.05 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Astralis | 59c | 19,782$11,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,110.48 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed paiN | 19c | 16,516$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.8 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Astralis | 66c | 15,967$10,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,465.64 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked paiN | 23c | 14,869$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.02 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed paiN | 18c | 9,128$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.73 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed paiN | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis | 55c | 4,831$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.13 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…6ca7backed paiN | 34c | 4,638$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed paiN | 42c | 4,475$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.49 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 77c | 4,432$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.09 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 74c | 4,089$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.37 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Astralis | 58c | 3,990$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.8 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed paiN | 26c | 3,903$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.8 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed paiN | 42c | 3,760$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.19 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN | 11c | 3,584$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.92 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Astralis | 58c | 3,527$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.34 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Astralis | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.99 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 26c | 3,404$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.26 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 29c | 3,009$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed Astralis | 80c | 3,000$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.58 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked paiN | 23c | 2,874$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.36 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Astralis | 56c | 2,789$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.15 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Astralis | 57c | 2,777$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.88 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN | 22c | 2,694$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.38 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Astralis | 71c | 2,600$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.49 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed paiN | 43c | 2,460$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.78 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e57cbacked Astralis | 72c | 2,378$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Astralis | 57c | 2,352$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.25 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN | 16c | 2,305$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed paiN | 15c | 2,257$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.85 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…c3d9backed paiN | 25c | 2,187$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.75 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed paiN | 32c | 2,147$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.14 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Astralis | 77c | 2,112$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.14 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astralis | 77c | 2,050$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked paiN | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed paiN | 47c | 2,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.93 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Astralis | 56c | 1,984$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.93 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 25c | 1,950$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked paiN | 25c | 1,906$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Astralis | 58c | 1,763$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN | 24c | 1,758$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked paiN | 25c | 1,736$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked paiN | 26c | 1,726$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.36 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN | 29c | 1,718$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.22 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked paiN | 34c | 1,662$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.87 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Astralis | 62c | 1,610$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.89 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Astralis | 72c | 1,511$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.74 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN | 26c | 1,442$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.7 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Astralis | 71c | 1,434$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.56 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed paiN | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed paiN | 26c | 1,376$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.87 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…2cd8backed paiN | 30c | 1,245$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Astralis | 59c | 1,224$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.01 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked paiN | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed paiN | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Astralis | 53c | 1,130$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.1 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed paiN | 10c | 1,120$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Astralis | 64c | 1,111$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.7 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Astralis | 74c | 1,105$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.01 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked paiN | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Astralis | 64c | 1,080$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.87 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed paiN | 32c | 1,060$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed paiN | 26c | 1,055$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Astralis | 58c | 1,050$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 71c | 1,046$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.62 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Astralis | 74c | 1,029$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.23 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed paiN | 35c | 1,000$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.53 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Astralis | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked paiN | 28c | 1,000$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed paiN | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Astralis | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN | 19c | 937$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.51 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Astralis | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…76afbacked Astralis | 57c | 878$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Astralis | 59c | 851.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.57 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Astralis | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Astralis | 65c | 819.92$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed paiN | 12c | 812.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed paiN | 37c | 808.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked paiN | 40c | 762.5$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Astralis | 67c | 749.96$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Astralis | 71c | 732$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed paiN | 37c | 711.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.49 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis | 55c | 699.99$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed paiN | 21c | 691.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed paiN | 30c | 653.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.05 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked paiN | 32c | 634.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN | 45c | 620$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked paiN | 31c | 618.1$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.61 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…da6cbacked paiN | 19c | 617.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed paiN | 15c | 601.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Astralis | 54c | 581.21$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.8 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed paiN | 29c | 580.92$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.47 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked paiN | 28c | 578.36$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.