TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93df…7306

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.5
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,537.03
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,525.98
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$691.57
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.99
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$824.98
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$702.5
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+121%+$547.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$212.99
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$331.25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$60.28
Norway vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$96.31
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$443.75
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$644.44
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$1,281.99
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,382Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$532.6
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,230
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,934.99
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$332
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$311.22
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,523Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$1,376.99
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$611.58
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,720
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$772.49
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$209.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,905
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,517Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$482.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,524Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$480.48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.31
Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.29
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,106.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,957.29
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+153.1%+$1,106.09
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.71
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$418.87
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$251.7
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$175.85
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+50%+$647.36
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,159.28
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.8
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25.2%+$100.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$379.99
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25.4%+$546.64
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+80.3%+$251.65
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,578Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$1,638.77
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,312.45
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,897Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,490.72
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+51.2%+$335.61
Red Wings vs. Islandersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$283.24
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Canucks vs. Penguinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+182.5%+$541.34
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.74
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.3%+$331.75
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.36
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+90.8%+$728.29
All 6 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$325.75
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$99.65
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$64.8
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.2%+$239.97
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+80.9%+$118.42
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,827.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$68.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+149.1%+$21.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$277.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$52.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.