NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd3332eb44b0f068b354b5307186dfeeccc6b20521099cb700c23ebd5beed1a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Red Wings, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $469,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 779 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Red Wings | 45c | 103,082$46,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,386.76 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 28c | 90,000$25,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,100 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Islanders | 55c | 86,328$47,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,731.14 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Red Wings | 45c | 61,638$27,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,671.6 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Islanders | 55c | 42,619$23,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,113.04 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Islanders | 55c | 28,980$15,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,040.9 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Islanders | 55c | 26,278$14,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,825.1 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 45c | 15,500$6,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,975 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Red Wings | 7c | 13,955$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.11 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Islanders | 55c | 13,500$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Islanders | 55c | 9,370$5,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.42 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Islanders | 54c | 9,217$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.43 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders | 56c | 8,995$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.79 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 55c | 8,106$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.1 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…dc81backed Islanders | 56c | 7,520$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6066…7b1abacked Red Wings | 44c | 7,515$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Wings | 43c | 7,081$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.99 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 44c | 6,734$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.96 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Red Wings | 45c | 6,158$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.57 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Wings | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Red Wings | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Islanders | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Islanders | 56c | 3,888$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 18c | 3,819$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.41 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Islanders | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Islanders | 55c | 2,749$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.09 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Red Wings | 1c | 2,539$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Islanders | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,454$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.89 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,413$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.72 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Red Wings | 43c | 2,266$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.26 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Islanders | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Islanders | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 45c | 2,000$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.33 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Red Wings | 43c | 2,000$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Red Wings | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Islanders | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.97 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Islanders | 55c | 1,942$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.13 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Islanders | 68c | 1,797$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.92 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Islanders | 55c | 1,718$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.18 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,563$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.5 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Red Wings | 44c | 1,513$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.13 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Red Wings | 8c | 1,448$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Red Wings | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 18c | 1,259$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.66 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…d6e1backed Red Wings | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Islanders | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,135$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.4 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Islanders | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,063$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 79c | 1,036$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.95 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Islanders | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…cfecbacked Islanders | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Islanders | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7ab3backed Red Wings | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Islanders | 55c | 999.96$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Red Wings | 44c | 970.75$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.64 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed Red Wings | 30c | 942$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Islanders | 57c | 881.19$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.91 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…1308backed Red Wings | 44c | 880.89$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.59 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…25bcbacked Red Wings | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ba…e279backed Islanders | 57c | 777$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Red Wings | 10c | 728.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Red Wings | 44c | 690$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.6 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Red Wings | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…e951backed Islanders | 55c | 627.96$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Red Wings | 43c | 621.23$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.13 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Islanders | 55c | 539$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Islanders | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Islanders | 57c | 510$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Red Wings | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b83…64fabacked Red Wings | 46c | 484.22$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…eff5backed Islanders | 57c | 484.21$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Red Wings | 20c | 464$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Red Wings | 46c | 458.7$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Red Wings | 29c | 450.2$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Islanders | 56c | 449.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91de…7044backed Islanders | 57c | 445.61$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…4114backed Red Wings | 46c | 445.61$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 44c | 435.71$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Wings | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings | 44c | 387$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Islanders | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Islanders | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Islanders | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Islanders | 55c | 361.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Islanders | 55c | 359$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f2…85f1backed Red Wings | 20c | 353.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…9300backed Red Wings | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…6950backed Islanders | 57c | 339.14$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…dfd5backed Red Wings | 46c | 339.13$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Red Wings | 45c | 338.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.18 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…25ebbacked Islanders | 57c | 328.04$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc4…1225backed Red Wings | 44c | 327.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…a817backed Islanders | 57c | 322.81$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Islandersthis page
- Red Wings vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.