TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a89…2f26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
711
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT70547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 705 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Vegas Golden Knights advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.3
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will Colorado Avalanche advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will Carolina Hurricanes advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Tampa Bay Lightning advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$686.34
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.46
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Pittsburgh Penguins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.69
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Will Ottawa Senators advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.44
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.94
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.93
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 705 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.