TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,279,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,331,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,279,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 811 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Wild44c438,242$190,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190,651.6316442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Avalanche56c215,905$120,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,998.286352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche57c213,627$121,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,888.8328749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Wild44c48,758$21,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,564.332433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e1…ec43backed Wild43c40,000$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,199.991338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche56c30,000$16,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,199.933164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Avalanche55c27,273$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,272.738946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Avalanche57c23,975$13,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,309.251442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Wild44c22,727$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Wild44c20,039$8,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,823.9541850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Avalanche58c19,285$11,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,087.811,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Avalanche54c19,069$10,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,765.2711352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Wild12c18,486$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.8958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche66c17,994$11,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,089.991,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wild44c15,526$6,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,839.961,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wild36c14,935$5,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,367.411,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Avalanche42c14,433$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,432.723354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Wild45c13,371$6,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,010.667038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Wild43c12,500$5,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,37512950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Avalanche58c12,000$6,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,053.423450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wild58c11,255$6,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,528.0413841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Avalanche56c11,111$6,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.896137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Avalanche64c10,515$6,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,808.4718452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Wild43c10,493$4,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,511.994949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Wild45c10,343$4,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,654.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Avalanche42c10,241$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,921.734951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche56c10,112$5,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,438.6227044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Avalanche56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,400966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Wild38c9,819$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,687.623036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Wild44c8,505$3,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,74220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche57c8,452$4,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,618.124555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Avalanche57c8,440$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.3532151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Avalanche57c7,630$4,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.94555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ac…1eebbacked Wild7c7,421$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Avalanche67c7,388$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.7212654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Wild44c6,949$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.572433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wild40c6,825$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,746.982,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Wild44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.942236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Wild47c5,936$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.830259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Wild44c5,695$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche57c5,200$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,23631849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche57c5,068$2,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.3889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Wild43c5,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17015749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Avalanche56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Wild42c4,850$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.023531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Wild44c4,751$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.442650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Wild55c4,700$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.818056.3%45 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3082…9b55backed Avalanche58c4,417$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8553132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Avalanche79c4,346$3,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.647047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Avalanche57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Wild44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7601442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Avalanche56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Wild47c3,993$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89214946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Avalanche57c3,991$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.051250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Wild49c3,938$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.4111950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Avalanche57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.7731550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Avalanche57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.77977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Wild44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5402441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Avalanche69c3,345$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.444568.9%31 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb74…53c8backed Wild45c3,017$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.84837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Avalanche58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Wild45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3506841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Avalanche57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e7…55d4backed Avalanche56c2,951$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche57c2,684$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.151,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Avalanche64c2,629$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.129157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Avalanche57c2,609$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89d…f314backed Wild44c2,580$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa4…3b47backed Avalanche56c2,550$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1225100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc0e…edc7backed Wild44c2,528$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Wild44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Wild43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07533652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Wild43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3f…e120backed Wild45c2,484$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.63771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+49.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Avalanche41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.021181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+52.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Avalanche41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.025255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Wild44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01255446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Wild44c2,276$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.263151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Wild44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-46.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Wild44c2,252$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.742948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild57c2,195$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.521,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Avalanche57c2,105$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.261172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Wild45c2,064$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.489258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1054…0f98backed Avalanche56c2,043$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Avalanche49c2,038$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.0714151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Wild56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.998134.6%28 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb52e…4d08backed Avalanche56c1,964$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Wild44c1,858$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.511030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d7e…42babacked Avalanche56c1,857$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Avalanche57c1,842$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.0683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Wild44c1,800$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.1976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc89b…4b6bbacked Avalanche56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.71450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild51c1,785$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.033,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Avalanche57c1,699$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.537755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Avalanche57c1,657$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.1322250%111 W · 111 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Avalanche56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Avalanche41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8857100%7 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Avalanche58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wild43c1,446$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.0466951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Wild43c1,437$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.4313251.5%68 W · 64 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.