NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02acf645b9045a1c53c620f5e079699258d8468e93b9d218b375fbfc42acb7e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 30c | 3,271$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.76 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 70c | 1,952$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.87 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 29c | 1,145$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.05 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 69c | 957.4$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.79 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 667.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 71c | 499.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 375.02$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 32c | 233.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 30c | 192.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 70c | 142.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 68c | 138.13$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 10c | 136$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…8843backed Under | 74c | 107.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 72c | 106.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 20c | 88.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 71c | 86.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Under | 73c | 67.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 78c | 50.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…9817backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 24c | 44.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 28c | 42.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 73c | 33.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…3c86backed Under | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4661…d6e3backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…1e4dbacked Under | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…5dadbacked Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…7648backed Under | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 71c | 17.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 7.5this page
- Avalanche vs. WildAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.