NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce00532cfa81263877f433ee3f2572e948c1c8580a9df5e0f6688bf1d884068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 34c | 7,646$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041.71 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 65c | 3,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Avalanche | 37c | 2,732$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.86 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Wild | 67c | 2,222$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.74 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Wild | 65c | 2,117$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.68 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 67c | 1,810$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.34 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Avalanche | 36c | 1,605$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.53 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Wild | 64c | 1,492$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.93 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Wild | 66c | 1,478$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.02 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche | 36c | 1,337$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.59 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Wild | 66c | 1,320$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.98 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Avalanche | 35c | 1,114$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.29 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Avalanche | 22c | 891.2$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.55 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wild | 63c | 642.7$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.9 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wild | 65c | 623.5$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.28 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Wild | 67c | 591.03$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.09 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Avalanche | 34c | 557$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.07 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Wild | 72c | 469$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.51 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Wild | 66c | 436.18$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.63 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wild | 67c | 430.81$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.75 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Wild | 64c | 415.06$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.64 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wild | 69c | 402.32$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.22 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Avalanche | 34c | 331.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Avalanche | 34c | 317.34$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 34c | 295.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild | 66c | 275$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Avalanche | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Wild | 55c | 217.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…237ebacked Avalanche | 24c | 208.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.87 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wild | 69c | 200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Avalanche | 26c | 198.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Avalanche | 36c | 187.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Avalanche | 48c | 179.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Avalanche | 23c | 165$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Wild | 69c | 161.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Wild | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Avalanche | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Avalanche | 32c | 149.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wild | 74c | 145.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Avalanche | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche | 43c | 117.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Wild | 61c | 111.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Wild | 61c | 111.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Avalanche | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Wild | 63c | 107.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wild | 65c | 107.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Wild | 77c | 104.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Wild | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Wild | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…359ebacked Avalanche | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Avalanche | 32c | 90.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Avalanche | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Wild | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Wild | 77c | 73.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Avalanche | 41c | 68.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Wild | 64c | 68.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Wild | 63c | 67.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…7276backed Avalanche | 21c | 60.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +385.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Wild | 65c | 59.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Wild | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Avalanche | 39c | 55.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…aec4backed Wild | 64c | 54.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wild | 79c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Avalanche | 33c | 50.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Avalanche | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Avalanche | 32c | 49.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Wild | 77c | 49.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f0…2651backed Avalanche | 33c | 47.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +198.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Avalanche | 40c | 45.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Wild | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Avalanche | 34c | 40.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Wild | 65c | 40.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Avalanche | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Avalanche | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Avalanche | 35c | 38.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Wild | 65c | 38.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Wild | 65c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Wild | 65c | 37.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…4760backed Avalanche | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa219…60e8backed Avalanche | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Wild | 51c | 31.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Avalanche | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Avalanche | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…bef3backed Wild | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Wild | 70c | 29.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Wild | 70c | 26.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Wild | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Wild | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wild | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Wild | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wild | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…5f27backed Wild | 65c | 19.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Wild | 69c | 18.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Wild | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Wild | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Wild | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. WildAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.