TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6be…fcfe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,623
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 58 out of 100; worst Music at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST24738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 247 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$490.73
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$205
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the NFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$78.3
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51
Bengals vs. Packers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$951.36
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,625
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$1,641.28
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.58
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$358.72
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$345
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+213.3%+$1,249.74
Giants vs. Saints: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,109.7
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,571Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$2,168.84
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.85
Browns vs. Lionsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$735.37
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$373.47
Panthers vs. Patriotsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$944.08
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$827.3
Titans vs. Texansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.56
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,043.7
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$975.92
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
LV vs. WAS: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.1
Showing 25 of 247 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT15332.7%50 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 153 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.04
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$33
Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Michael Anton be next National Security Advisor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$919.62
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$960
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.82
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$965.25
Will Trump resign today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$258.4
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.81
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.68
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$367.38
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.32
Will Rumeysa Ozturk be deported before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.16
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+87.5%+$512.5
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.06
Will TikTok be banned before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$37.4
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Brazil before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$121.77
Showing 25 of 153 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT14033.6%47 W · 93 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11,960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$6,546.75
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+678.4%+$136.83
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$80.76
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+173.9%+$110.97
Liberal party signs coalition agreement before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.85
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+186.5%+$200.02
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.5
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.7
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.96
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,599.84
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$450.81
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.36
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$532.04
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$329.19
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$316.79
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$250
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+166.5%+$1,098.68
Italian imposition of term limits on employment contracts referendumbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.95
Italian solidary responsibility of the client, contractor, and subcontractor for injuries referendumbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.81
Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendumbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.37
Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendumbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+297.3%+$411
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST13353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.4%+$68.68
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Series Winnerbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,168.8
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,518.49
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,199.99
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,625
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$9,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,300
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,660.77
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,050Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+98%+$4,949.98
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$10,000.02
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$645.82
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$3,000
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,159.92
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,224.12
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$82.36
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,099.96
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,200
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,633Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,986.62
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$197.49
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$197.12
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,344.37
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$275
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the NL Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$645.62
Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.32
Los Angeles Angels vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$860
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+150%+$180
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT11548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+62.2%+$251.61
Will Desire Doue score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$315
Will Joao Pedro score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,002.55
Will Real Madrid win Group H at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.77
Will Juventus win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.05
Will Manchester City win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.5
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.9
Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.13
Will Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.02
Will Flamengo win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24.84
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+25%+$4.2
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$97.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$248.43
Will Stade Brestois advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+334.8%+$770
Will Club Brugge beat Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+151.1%+$143.5
Will Sporting CP beat Club Brugge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+49.3%+$272.54
Will Stade Brestois beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$144
Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$189.26
Will Atalanta beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$622.13
Will Aston Villa beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$150.5
Will Monaco beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$254.1
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.39
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$44.77
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,666.17
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.61
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$544.37
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$30,149.85
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300.24
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.33
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.53
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$955.8
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$77
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$6,188.53
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,322.98
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.2
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,710.45
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$57
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$35
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.86
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$62.65
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.23
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+107%+$118.26
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.18
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$4,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,888.84
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$79.19
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,999.96
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10149.5%50 W · 51 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Finney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$4,620.54
UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Micallef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,713Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+84.2%+$4,809.06
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Mar Fan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$131.1
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$152.52
UFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,840Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4,160
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,465Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$5,035
UFC 323: Barboza vs. Turner (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$51.6
UFC 322: McConico vs. Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$553.3
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+192.7%+$221.25
Fiorot vs. Jasudaviciusbacked Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$645
UFC Fight Night: Will Zhang win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$35
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$385.56
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Limabacked Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$118
UFC Fight Night: Will Hill win by KO/TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$5.6
UFC Fight Night: Will Hill win by points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$8
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.92
Williams vs. Gustafssonbacked Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$930
Reese vs. Todorovićbacked Todorović · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.53
de Ridder vs. Nickalbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$682.32
Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silvabacked Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$603.25
Cannonier vs. Rodriguesbacked Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+185.7%+$599.05
Estevam vs. Aguilarbacked Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Bonfim vs. Sadykhovbacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$819.99
Vieira vs. Petroskibacked Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+222.6%+$688.9
Matthews vs. Delgadobacked Matthews · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$484.8
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST6464.1%41 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ajax vs. Union St.-Gilloisebacked Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+37.4%+$70.25
Will FCSB beat Olympiacos?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$211.2
Will Lyon beat FK Qarabag?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+104.1%+$504.79
Will the match between Hoffenheim and Lyon end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$143.86
Will Lazio beat Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$120.8
Will Porto beat Lazio?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+63.9%+$10
Will Hoffenheim beat Lyon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+75.4%+$62
Will the match between Lazio and Porto end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+51.5%+$150.7
Will Real Sociedad beat Viktoria Plzen?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+143.9%+$76.3
Will Lyon beat Hoffenheim?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+81.8%+$229.45
Will the match between Manchester United and PAOK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+25%+$52.2
Will the match between Dynamo Kyiv and Ferencvaros end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+45.5%+$13.3
Will Fenerbahce beat AZ Alkmaar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+72.6%+$96.93
Will Dynamo Kyiv beat Ferencvaros?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+72.6%+$87.39
Will Manchester United beat PAOK?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$13.7
Will Tottenham beat Galatasaray?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,766Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+45.4%+$802
Will Galatasaray beat Tottenham?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$865.7
Will the match between Ludogorets and Athletic Bilbao end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+47.1%+$66
Will the match between Galatasaray and Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+47.1%+$74.7
Will FCSB beat Midtjylland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$22.48
Will Slavia Praha beat Frankfurt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+37%+$405.2
Will Qarabag beat Bodo Glimt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$1,140
Will Athletic Bilbao beat Ludogorets?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$779.28
Will the match between Bodo Glimt and Qarabag end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+36.7%+$25
Will Roma beat Union St-Gilloise?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+85.2%+$689.99
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT6137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.49
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,602.08
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10,018Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+70%+$7,008.45
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.22
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,733Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$10,250.52
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,022.09
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.97
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$4,888.89
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,488.74
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,421.58
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,606.46
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$431.18
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,075
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,331.59
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29,559Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+109.4%+$32,336.25
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+84.4%+$6,815.37
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11,767Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+117%+$13,772.99
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25,762Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+90.9%+$23,409.62
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,317Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+69.3%+$4,378.28
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,012.9
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13,993Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+64.7%+$9,048.15
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$300.66
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,659Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+84.5%+$5,627.24
Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$982.62
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT4852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.34
Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$534.79
Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$127.54
Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+72.8%+$900.43
Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$103.15
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$749
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$692.83
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$1,897.49
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,730Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+44.5%+$770
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+66.6%+$611.75
Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$37.62
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+143.9%+$376.38
Will Fulham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$242.46
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$974.98
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$549.59
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,331Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+33%+$1,099.18
Will Man City win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+232.3%+$181.02
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$171.64
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$952.94
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$435
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$392.86
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$558.11
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$898.71
Will Ipswich vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$45.79
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
Spread: USC (-2.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.1
Spread: Texas (-2.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$282.21
O/U 55.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$75
Toledo vs. Bowling: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.61
Ohio State vs. Illinois: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$660
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,273Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+134.7%+$1,715.25
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$420
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$83.14
Will Notre Dame play Ohio State in the CFP Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$69.56
Will Texas play Notre Dame in the CFP Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$15.53
Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$105
Baylor vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+170.3%+$79.7
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$983.47
Louisville vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$675
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,711Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+107.2%+$2,907.33
BYU vs. Coloradobacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+150.1%+$1,554.1
Will NC State beat ECU by 7 or more points?backed NC St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$31.2
East Carolina vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$1,540.13
Miami (OH) vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$388.74
Will Miami beat Iowa State by 4 or more points?backed Iowa St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+108.3%+$390
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+186.6%+$163.85
Louisiana vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,928Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+34.8%+$671.85
Boston College vs. Nebraskabacked Nebraska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+63.9%+$195
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$552.5
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,100.16
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,152.05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.39
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,552Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+276.6%+$18,121.1
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$87
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,308.26
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$79.79
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$538.17
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,099.78
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66,276.35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20,478.07
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$892.47
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,608.64
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$560.13
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$3,037.26
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10,296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10,296.3
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54.74
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$966.24
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.29
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+275%+$258.04
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.99
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$195
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$234
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+111.3%+$15.32
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.8
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,714.71
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$621.36
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$236.51
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$404.6
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 18%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$71.63
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$259.99
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+381.9%+$1,756.66
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$45.87
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,338.45
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$4,633.33
Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.2
Democratic senator calls on Fetterman to resign in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$15.49
Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$428.37
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$388.73
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$528.16
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$502.51
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$3,936.11
Russell Vought confirmed as OMB Director?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$129.54
Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$235.44
Will 20-23 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$933.76
Will Republicans have between 220 and 224 seats in House after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+900%+$1,800
Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.61
Will Denmark beat Serbia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+49.3%+$660
Will Scotland beat Croatia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$147.74
Will Spain beat Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$34.48
Will the match between Denmark and Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+44.9%+$12
Will Serbia beat Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+25%+$3
Will Denmark beat Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+33.3%+$10
Will the match between Cyprus and Lithuania end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Will Cyprus beat Lithuania?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$1,159.99
Will Lithuania beat Cyprus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$10
Will Italy beat Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$1,919.98
Will France beat Israel?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+1,011.1%+$873.79
Will Belgium beat Italy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+59.4%+$269.16
Will the match between Belgium and Italy end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+45.6%+$138.26
Will Spain beat Serbia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$494.29
Will Poland beat Croatia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+45.6%+$190.55
Will Croatia beat Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+84.2%+$701.04
Will Denmark beat Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,212Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+46.9%+$568.4
Will the match between Switzerland and Denmark end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$320.12
Will Portugal beat Scotland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$1,137.44
Will Switzerland beat Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$769.98
Will the match between Poland and Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$172.21
Will Italy beat Israel?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$185.88
Will the match between Germany and Netherlands end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$39.42
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,477.02
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$261.91
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$131.43
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$62.32
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Jaume Munarbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$89
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,032.08
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$37.75
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,475Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$728.65
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$385
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:1 against Taylor Fritz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.78
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 HSBC Championships?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$324.5
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$44
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Terra Wortmann Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$19.44
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 HSBC Championships?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$28.34
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.35
Will Lois Boisson win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$453.24
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 French Open? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$372.44
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+28.8%+$48
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,732Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+30.6%+$529.96
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+72.4%+$396.78
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+239.8%+$1,234.97
Will Ben Shelton win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$82.4
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-56.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$5,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,925.81
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,544.42
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$83.29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$77.89
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$283.4
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$822.88
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,220.48
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+566.7%+$776.5
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,414.19
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$743.27
Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$10.3
Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.12
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$285.86
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.73
Will Jerome Powell say "Balance Sheet" during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.41
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,565.74
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,885Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+32%+$2,521.27
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 May hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 84-85°F on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+512.7%+$53.24
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 80-81°F on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+48.9%+$24.99
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 47°F or higher on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+179%+$90.69
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$176.21
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 34-35°F on February 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$137.5
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$238.4
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.69
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+156%+$245.4
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+25.2%+$1,404.62
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,670Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+60%+$1,602.82
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$976.29
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$335.41
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+91.9%+$144.76
Will LA wildfires burn 40-50k acres by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+132.6%+$83.79
Will LA wildfires burn 60-70k acres by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$113.29
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$663.37
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$366.91
Will LA wildfires burn 30-40k acres by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+47.1%+$320
Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$313.78
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+160.5%+$1,350.49
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-62%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.68
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.7
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.53
Will Elon tweet 190-199 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.61
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.97
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.39
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.86
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.67
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.23
Will Elon tweet 170-179 times April 4 - 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.01
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$1,807.32
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,366Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+131.4%+$1,794.41
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+80.4%+$363.67
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,653.34
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+74%+$487.93
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.69
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.11
Will Elon tweet 900 or more times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,966Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+28.9%+$2,304.85
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+30.8%+$331.15
Will Elon tweet 825-849 times Feb 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24.03
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+231.8%+$1,092.98
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$379.9
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$244.51
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$470
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+54.4%+$85.78
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+265.5%+$211.15
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,612Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$785.62
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$189.07
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$492.41
Will Oscar Piastri win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$24.54
Will Max Verstappen win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,794Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+30.3%+$1,148.67
Will Lando Norris win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+75.4%+$322.5
Will George Russell win the Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,652Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+61.4%+$2,240.99
Will Lando Norris win the Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,754Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+44.7%+$1,230.12
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$319.44
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,038Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+46.2%+$1,404.2
Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$3,976.01
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+35.1%+$1,137.37
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$52.69
Will Max Verstappen win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+40.6%+$10.28
Will Lando Norris win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$68.77
Will Carlos Sainz win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,268.03
Will Charles Leclerc win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,661Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+29.3%+$778.63
Will Lando Norris win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+67.1%+$490.68
Will Charles Leclerc win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$250
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128.52
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,306.03
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.17
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.84
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.79
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$554.62
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+106.4%+$22.13
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,038.5
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+33%+$414.43
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.6
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.67
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+71.8%+$104.5
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+25%+$50
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$150.7
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2025, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-72.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90 and 94?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.63
Will 'Shadow Force' gross more than $2m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.61
Will 'Shadow Force' gross between $1.6-2m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will 'Fight or Flight' gross between $1.2-1.5m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will 'Fight or Flight' gross more than $1.5m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$17.07
Will 'Sinners' gross between $49m and $54m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score >95?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will another movie gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.1
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$366.89
Rege-Jean Page announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$48.9
Damson Idris announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.23
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$494.98
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$839.35
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' record September opening?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT+29.5%+$125.68
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$529.26
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $84m and $90m 2nd weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$169.54
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross less than $84m 2nd weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$66.44
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.37
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$544.56
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+217.5%+$68.5
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
OpenAI social app before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+210.6%+$56.4
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.07
Will OpenAI acquire Windsurf before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+93.8%+$24.2
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.85
Will Musk say "Inflation" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$25.4
Will Musk say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Will Musk say "Rare Earth" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Musk say "China" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$8
Will Musk say "DOGE" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.69
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$185
All 17 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. win his boxing match against?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$200.98
Will Tyson Fury KO Oleksandr Usyk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+66.7%+$37.43
Will the fight go the distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,690Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$2,690.36
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+34.8%+$741.04
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$373.43
Taylor vs. Serranobacked Serrano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$972.81
Goyat vs. Nunesbacked Goyat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+32.2%+$323.47
Carrington vs. Coolwellbacked Coolwell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$136.5
Over 9.5 rounds?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+53.5%+$134.22
Beterbiev vs. Bivol: Who will win?backed Bivol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$68.17
Will Lin Yu-Ting (TPE) win Gold in Women’s 57kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+27.2%+$278.22
Will Imane Khelif (ALG) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+59.9%+$580.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$153.75
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,287Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+49.1%+$3,084.16
Will Great Britain win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+401.6%+$925.85
Will France win the 3rd most medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$577.83
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$98.34
Will Joshua Cheptegei (UGA) win Gold in 5000m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.62
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$554.99
Olympic Women's Basketball: USA (-27.5) vs. Nigeria Spreadbacked Nigeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT+233.3%+$29.51
Will Matthew Hudson-Smith (GBR) win gold in the Men’s 400m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$355.52
Olympic Basketball: USA (-27.5) vs. Brazil Spreadbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.67
Will Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$436.22
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$2,086.67
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$667.42
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$976Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$511.13
PGA Championship: Hole in One? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.67
Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.68
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,922.94
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,993Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$2,487.07
Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.61
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 WM Phoenix Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+35%+$292.01
Will Nelly Korda win Gold in Women's Golf?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+40.1%+$251.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.6
WNBA Finals: Liberty vs. Lynx Series Winnerbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,184Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+44.7%+$528.66
Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$737.59
Will the New York Liberty win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+41.2%+$455.19
WNBA Finals: Lynx vs. Liberty Game 4backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$980
WNBA Finals: Lynx vs. Liberty Game 3backed Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$304.39
WNBA Finals: Liberty vs. Lynx Game 1backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$650
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Winnerbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+88.5%+$538.15
Will the Las Vegas Aces win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+25%+$188
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3backed Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$568.25
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Game 3backed Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$458.64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick11cpaid+225.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+110.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-63.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich beat Bayer Leverkusen?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+150.9%+$663.78
Will Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$154
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.63
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$261.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,142.79
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+37%+$247.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.