Music · resolved market
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d598861ef5b9ffca7681cfee6b124c0b995dc5e285e46046f06b28a1c85d4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $797,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $811,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $797,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1b0…4535backed Yes | 0c | 131,519$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked Yes | 12c | 58,405$7,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,226.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…b1d4backed Yes | 2c | 36,258$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 30c | 33,979$10,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,165.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 36c | 29,147$10,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,414.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…a683backed Yes | 17c | 14,448$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 71c | 12,303$8,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,796.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 3c | 11,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.71 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 80c | 10,000$7,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 35c | 8,969$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,429$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 69c | 7,665$5,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 40c | 6,507$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 4c | 6,290$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 1c | 6,067$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 71c | 5,570$3,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,947.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked No | 66c | 5,439$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 70c | 5,379$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed Yes | 74c | 4,908$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…7124backed No | 30c | 4,473$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +427.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x157f…5b27backed Yes | 68c | 4,386$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 66c | 4,383$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked No | 23c | 4,276$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +327.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 3,868$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.79 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…8921backed No | 69c | 3,806$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 2c | 3,783$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 67c | 3,694$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.59 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 45c | 3,630$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.78 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…cb78backed No | 16c | 3,560$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked No | 30c | 3,510$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…a59dbacked No | 36c | 3,302$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…024fbacked No | 28c | 3,267$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…a7f4backed No | 33c | 3,204$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,920$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9983…4889backed No | 79c | 2,877$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,850$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…b497backed No | 30c | 2,586$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,513$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 28c | 2,391$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,391$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 80c | 2,283$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…52d3backed No | 40c | 2,233$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a0…beecbacked No | 21c | 2,202$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6a…a012backed Yes | 10c | 2,165$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…5d2ebacked No | 28c | 2,115$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +252.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b4…8dd5backed Yes | 66c | 2,114$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,093$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…b32bbacked No | 35c | 2,005$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…1e04backed Yes | 72c | 1,896$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…9e14backed Yes | 1c | 1,757$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 69c | 1,741$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…20d8backed Yes | 66c | 1,677$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 15c | 1,656$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…28f4backed No | 23c | 1,588$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +238.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…b971backed No | 26c | 1,572$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +290.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…7099backed No | 32c | 1,571$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +208.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…8d1cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,568$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…14abbacked Yes | 74c | 1,504$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 13c | 1,503$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 35c | 1,498$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed No | 45c | 1,447$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cd…d1adbacked No | 23c | 1,419$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce44…903bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,313$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 74c | 1,300$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,292$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 65c | 1,275$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,189$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 5c | 1,150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked No | 34c | 1,092$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…49cabacked No | 17c | 1,085$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 65c | 1,079$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…a395backed No | 46c | 1,068$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed No | 29c | 1,040$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 23c | 1,034$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…0402backed No | 20c | 1,025$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked No | 32c | 1,023$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 67c | 982.25$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.28 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 70c | 926.71$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…a3b1backed No | 43c | 917.36$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6b…fa75backed No | 33c | 904.32$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 30c | 892.63$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 40c | 880.07$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 74c | 861.24$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked No | 31c | 859.97$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 72c | 849.32$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed No | 30c | 826.43$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed Yes | 32c | 800$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 31c | 799.62$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 2c | 779.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 80c | 774.73$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 39c | 763.24$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…4ab7backed No | 31c | 748.76$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed No | 16c | 748.75$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…abbcbacked No | 19c | 736.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…aa60backed Yes | 68c | 731.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 20c | 725.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +407.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.