TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2360…1c1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 59 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT8831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Toronto – Shelton vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,020
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Khachanovbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10,185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$4,738.58
ATP Toronto – Michelsen vs. Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
ATP Toronto – Etcheverry vs. Cerundolobacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
ATP Kitzbuhel – Cazaux vs. Rinderknechbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$406.02
ATP Washington D.C – Evans vs. Moutet backed Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$224.64
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Shevchenkobacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
ATP Kitzbuhel – Rinderknech vs. Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
ATP Washington D.C: Michelsen vs. Evansbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
ATP Washington D.C: Norrie vs. Musettibacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+271.9%+$679.63
ATP Washington D.C: Monfils vs. Yibingbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Nordea Open: Carabelli vs. De Jongbacked De Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$265.58
Swiss Open: Ruud vs. Cerundolobacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.12
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,757
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,083.33
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanovbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$404.14
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$706.76
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+82.2%+$1,978.25
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+85.4%+$1,107.98
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+68.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$9,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$9,965.4
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$2,571.43
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+96.8%+$1,936.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,703.8
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$5,666.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,249.6
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+480.6%+$1,509.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,150
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$850
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will XRP reach $5.0 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+401%+$400.95
Will Solana reach $180 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+105.6%+$105.62
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick17cpaid+123.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+271.2%+$678.04
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+520.6%+$1,681.38
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?backed Dan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+1,107.3%+$553.65
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,825Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+141.8%+$4,006.39
Will George Simion win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$286.72
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+140.4%+$140.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+623.3%+$3,116.5
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$298.7
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$3,142.86
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.62
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+123.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$300.08
UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Guskovbacked Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+172%+$1,582.79
UFC Fight Night: Yahya vs. Nguyenbacked Nguyen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$204.62
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,680
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$392.89
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+525%+$525
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuberbacked Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$614.29
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikovbacked Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$306
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$980.28
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Powell say "Step/Stepping Down" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+372.7%+$1,863.64
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+548.1%+$164.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+130%+$649.88
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+327.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+327.2%+$3,275.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$356.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kash Patel out by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.