World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb081b826e9838fb4eaeeaf372c1e6504e3028dcaee9478603c9a0ebd3e315fc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $548,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $548,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 40c | 45,537$18,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,207.68 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 35c | 23,841$8,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,562.72 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…0a59backed Yes | 35c | 14,092$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,131.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…83c0backed Yes | 30c | 13,022$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,116.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 22c | 12,420$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,636.62 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…d4d8backed Yes | 22c | 10,598$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,319.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…62aebacked Yes | 9c | 10,294$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,344.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 33c | 9,386$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,246.76 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 61c | 9,382$5,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.98 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 74c | 7,735$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.98 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked No | 79c | 7,281$5,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,752.01 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 31c | 7,065$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.68 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 34c | 7,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 33c | 6,881$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,597.57 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 6,449$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 47c | 5,988$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.61 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 33c | 5,983$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.73 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 74c | 5,915$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 27c | 5,125$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.62 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…3cd5backed Yes | 29c | 5,080$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +96%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…9f2cbacked Yes | 50c | 4,863$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 28c | 4,679$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.02 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 3c | 4,532$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.25 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…2d56backed Yes | 45c | 4,458$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…4efdbacked Yes | 65c | 4,335$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 30c | 4,326$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.11 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…79e8backed Yes | 62c | 4,106$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…3197backed Yes | 47c | 4,084$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 21c | 4,027$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.86 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 31c | 3,591$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.92 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Yes | 31c | 3,565$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 8cpaid | +854.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…7122backed No | 68c | 3,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +99%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 48c | 2,901$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.35 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 55c | 2,856$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.28 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Yes | 31c | 2,825$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.74 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Yes | 23c | 2,820$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…0eeebacked No | 13c | 2,811$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +236.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6624…3f57backed No | 46c | 2,807$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 31c | 2,738$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.89 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 3c | 2,731$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Yes | 34c | 2,345$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.1 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 32c | 2,221$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.44 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 73c | 2,164$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.01 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes | 13c | 2,127$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.44 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 32c | 2,065$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.47 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 31c | 2,051$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.02 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,004$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 17cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 50c | 1,972$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.39 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 1,955$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.44 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…0c33backed Yes | 34c | 1,792$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 47c | 1,773$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 34c | 1,668$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.91 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0191…93f0backed Yes | 31c | 1,627$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…ca7fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,565$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed Yes | 12c | 1,559$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 35c | 1,500$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.66 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db5…9879backed Yes | 35c | 1,360$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…5ea9backed Yes | 66c | 1,360$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 30c | 1,305$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 70c | 1,300$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked No | 31c | 1,284$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 65c | 1,261$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.76 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808e…1c51backed Yes | 31c | 1,253$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.36 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…49b3backed Yes | 70c | 1,222$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.77 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…7c13backed Yes | 61c | 1,200$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 25c | 1,185$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.12 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…c56ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,145$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 72c | 1,119$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 72c | 1,102$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.56 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 49c | 1,050$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.98 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 21c | 1,023$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1d…55b9backed Yes | 30c | 1,012$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…9648backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.3 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…0e86backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 997.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.49 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 50c | 980.42$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.88 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 3c | 822.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 31c | 800.74$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.01 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 30c | 800.49$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.27 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Yes | 45c | 800$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…fd85backed Yes | 59c | 770$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…139ebacked Yes | 68c | 769.2$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 29c | 766$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.39 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd39d…00bcbacked Yes | 35c | 757.14$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.14 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…8488backed Yes | 53c | 748.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…2589backed Yes | 20c | 734.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.77 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 39c | 720.97$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.49 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6841…23bebacked Yes | 32c | 714.45$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.45 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +594.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 27c | 676$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 64c | 674.36$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.45 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…9006backed Yes | 66c | 636.29$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 68c | 611$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.48 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d3…2d11backed Yes | 28c | 605$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked Yes | 17c | 602.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 602.06$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.24 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?this page
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 62-64%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 64-66%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 66-68%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.