World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30f262c6a1267418b4804da863df50d5af9a9aaef1e5d972d1e8e191155b987a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $456,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 29,931$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.39 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 1c | 26,257$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.88 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 20c | 26,028$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.82 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 1c | 24,391$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.18 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…c815backed Yes | 7c | 22,798$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Yes | 7c | 17,944$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.23 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…0c33backed Yes | 16c | 15,251$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 0c | 14,001$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 0c | 11,206$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 8c | 9,936$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.49 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…d4d8backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 16c | 8,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 6,492$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…83c0backed Yes | 10c | 5,863$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…312abacked Yes | 1c | 5,672$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 15c | 5,339$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.62 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…0a59backed Yes | 19c | 5,297$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 6c | 4,950$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.92 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 20c | 4,482$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.68 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 13c | 4,455$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.19 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,002$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d3…c5fdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 7c | 3,500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 5c | 3,035$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 3c | 2,891$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 12c | 2,859$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.59 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 16c | 2,855$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.75 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 8c | 2,648$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…c56ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,643$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…9648backed Yes | 15c | 2,617$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…583abacked Yes | 6c | 2,529$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 19cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,497$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.16 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…3197backed Yes | 14c | 2,419$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9450backed Yes | 13c | 2,176$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808e…1c51backed Yes | 12c | 2,011$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.94 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,811$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.48 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 12c | 1,750$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 11c | 1,729$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6841…23bebacked Yes | 6c | 1,723$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +594.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…dbefbacked Yes | 1c | 1,573$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,571$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78f…79c6backed Yes | 7c | 1,509$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…2090backed Yes | 20c | 1,496$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,433$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…29fdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,423$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +232.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,305$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd39d…00bcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,228$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.83 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes | 19c | 1,217$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed2…4f0ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,211$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…3783backed Yes | 9c | 1,203$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 1,155$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 1,138$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb33…1fe7backed Yes | 5c | 1,111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 4c | 1,111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 19c | 1,079$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 13c | 1,050$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.71 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 13c | 1,050$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…9d0dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,022$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…2589backed Yes | 14c | 1,007$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…3a04backed Yes | 15c | 1,001$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Yes | 26c | 939.37$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff0…e4a8backed Yes | 18c | 939$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…127bbacked Yes | 9c | 915.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c21…2996backed Yes | 12c | 848.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26f…8cf4backed Yes | 2c | 799.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…3590backed Yes | 13c | 796.52$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +179.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb78…73a8backed Yes | 14c | 717.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…91f8backed Yes | 10c | 703.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe641…8488backed Yes | 15c | 648.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…b009backed Yes | 2c | 621.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 16c | 549.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 18c | 535$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Yes | 9c | 533.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…3602backed Yes | 6c | 528.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…f71abacked Yes | 19c | 526.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…4fe9backed Yes | 7c | 520.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…2f2ebacked Yes | 2c | 515.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…4049backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b41…38efbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…7ba2backed Yes | 2c | 463.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 6c | 454.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…0d6bbacked Yes | 13c | 444.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63a…546ebacked Yes | 15c | 442.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 5c | 430$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4726…82d3backed Yes | 9c | 430$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 421.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…f8bcbacked No | 73c | 408.83$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 6c | 396.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 29c | 353$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…ea07backed Yes | 22c | 339.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 9c | 335$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…48bcbacked Yes | 8c | 331.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 12c | 330.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 74c | 324.08$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…8fe0backed Yes | 5c | 321$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…8f53backed Yes | 7c | 300.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 23c | 270.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +340%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?this page
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 62-64%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 64-66%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 66-68%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?Yes won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.