World Politics · resolved market
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3505ebab4f2d6496a0c1451a21584d95a0fae3d06c948ed42c373c59fd63e5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,101,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,038,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,101,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 34c | 79,610$27,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,009.3 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2f…dd1cbacked Yes | 22c | 33,709$7,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,361.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 41c | 26,132$10,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,668.7 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…83c0backed Yes | 52c | 22,952$11,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,850.12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…d4d8backed Yes | 49c | 22,097$10,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,748.71 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce92…6e4bbacked Yes | 32c | 21,020$6,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,829.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 18c | 19,225$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.01 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 46c | 19,200$8,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,308.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 34c | 19,010$6,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,530.39 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…9f2cbacked Yes | 53c | 18,407$9,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 75c | 18,134$13,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,546.11 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 45c | 17,142$7,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,785.84 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…3f65backed Yes | 52c | 16,881$8,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,794 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 55c | 15,476$8,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,964.18 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…0a59backed Yes | 39c | 15,319$5,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,953.39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 31c | 14,528$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 51c | 13,108$6,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,662.93 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…0c33backed No | 44c | 12,420$5,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 40c | 12,205$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,827.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 26c | 11,502$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 73c | 10,018$7,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,303.24 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…7f28backed No | 53c | 9,770$5,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 9,631$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 54c | 8,489$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,557.41 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked No | 44c | 7,902$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed No | 26c | 7,661$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 34c | 7,074$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.45 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7f…99a1backed Yes | 78c | 6,695$5,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 71c | 6,584$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,642.81 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…c089backed Yes | 56c | 6,382$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 71c | 6,367$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 55c | 6,350$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,512.53 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…25cbbacked No | 33c | 6,299$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +95%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 42c | 6,225$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.05 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes | 33c | 5,957$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.89 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceaf…86cdbacked Yes | 13c | 5,842$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed Yes | 36c | 5,788$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030c…521bbacked Yes | 43c | 5,368$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…2d56backed Yes | 34c | 5,168$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 30c | 4,838$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.18 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…1edcbacked Yes | 14c | 4,660$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b9…47cebacked Yes | 40c | 4,644$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6624…3f57backed Yes | 48c | 4,593$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 48c | 4,593$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.47 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 16c | 4,466$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.07 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Yes | 65c | 4,143$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 66c | 4,132$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.94 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…7bcbbacked No | 36c | 4,121$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 26c | 4,093$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.29 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 23c | 4,090$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.85 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 47c | 4,031$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.51 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…312abacked Yes | 4c | 4,030$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 21c | 3,800$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…9006backed Yes | 62c | 3,752$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 49c | 3,725$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.68 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 6c | 3,700$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 74c | 3,580$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.7 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…21d8backed Yes | 64c | 3,538$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…91f8backed Yes | 22c | 3,528$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…1f87backed Yes | 64c | 3,503$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Yes | 73c | 3,494$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 80c | 3,449$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.73 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…3197backed Yes | 36c | 3,434$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…d848backed Yes | 19c | 3,423$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…d636backed Yes | 45c | 3,382$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…caa9backed Yes | 62c | 3,322$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.42 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 73c | 3,256$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.85 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Yes | 73c | 3,242$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.48 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 39c | 3,229$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.97 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 37c | 3,228$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.57 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…c56ebacked Yes | 56c | 3,206$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 9c | 3,191$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.01 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yes | 51c | 3,162$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed Yes | 18c | 3,138$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Yes | 49c | 3,002$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.31 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed No | 57c | 2,993$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 71c | 2,900$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 56c | 2,834$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.14 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…01c0backed Yes | 25c | 2,754$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.85 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…ea07backed Yes | 1c | 2,630$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yes | 71c | 2,600$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 66cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…5fdfbacked Yes | 79c | 2,535$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…9648backed Yes | 65c | 2,436$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,210$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.18 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…ade5backed Yes | 1c | 2,208$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910c…f582backed Yes | 56c | 2,179$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes | 75c | 2,130$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.6 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 73c | 2,118$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.59 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 26c | 2,101$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.72 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 2,062$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked No | 76c | 2,005$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.79 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 50c | 2,004$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…7122backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +99%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…f71abacked No | 39c | 1,930$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.33 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 66c | 1,905$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.93 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…ab12backed Yes | 36c | 1,893$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…65febacked Yes | 3c | 1,879$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 28c | 1,835$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.12 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?this page
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 62-64%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 64-66%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 66-68%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?No won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?Yes won
- Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.