TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa8c6…44e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,207
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Commodities, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 59 out of 100; worst World Politics at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT28750.2%144 W · 143 L-1.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 287 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15,616Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,616.44
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,626Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$807.83
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,865Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$2,167.1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,831Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$4,135.27
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,684.81
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,641.4
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,087.26
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$308.99
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,268.83
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$285.98
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,787.43
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.32
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$309.5
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4,522.59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,244.66
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.15
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,940.23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,736Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$3,233.61
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$920.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30,314Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$8,758.38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,493Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$5,779.91
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$78,885.85
Showing 25 of 287 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20446.6%95 W · 109 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 204 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$249.78
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.45
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.58
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$880.78
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 28-March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$254.09
Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.14
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.87
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$560.16
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,171Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.3%+$1,763.59
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$114.11
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$467.86
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11,111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+63.6%+$7,063.06
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+63.7%+$233.39
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.6%+$47.68
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$825
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,762Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+30.5%+$537.99
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,032Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.9%+$688.72
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$779.84
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.7%+$657.27
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$5,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$5,464.65
Will more than 10 Senate Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+818.6%+$390.32
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25.3%+$242
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,117.72
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.1%+$976.49
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$41.99
Showing 25 of 204 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT15230.3%46 W · 106 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
World Politics — the 152 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,674Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$6,765.99
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,775.03
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,334.32
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,442.74
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31%+$355
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,590.6
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,501.9
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,734.35
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$242
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14,011Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40%+$5,609.2
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.91
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,909Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$1,838.31
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$187.97
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,017.42
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 165 and 179 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,895.47
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+616.8%+$963.15
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,251.5
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT8543.5%37 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$166.43
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$207.22
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$497
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.03
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.23
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$772.19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.39
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.98
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+171.7%+$509.37
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$137
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,868Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$1,941.72
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,770Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$1,222.22
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$298.13
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$278
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.39
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$127.57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$951.03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,772Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$1,007.85
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$319.98
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$238.04
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.98
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$756.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$5,815.74
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,635Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+667.3%+$17,585.37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,821.33
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$101.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$432
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,833Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+36.2%+$1,386.85
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,371.78
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$447.86
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,148.95
Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$749.12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,090
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$710.59
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+119.9%+$110.52
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$120
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$220
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+80.5%+$111.5
Will Donald Trump say "suit" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$46
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.1%+$177.89
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT5560%33 W · 22 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,713Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$1,925.92
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53,786Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53,785.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,799.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$524.98
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 22?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,585.52
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+377.4%+$896.59
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,859Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$5,377.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$53,968.39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,968Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$841.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+182.4%+$378.12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.97
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$859.99
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,644.98
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.99
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$2,915.29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$288
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$430
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,281Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$2,018.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,821.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT5034%17 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15,011Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+46.5%+$6,978.45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$8,619Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+155.3%+$13,380.93
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,025.64
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+143.8%+$294.88
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$405
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.29
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18,542Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+91.9%+$17,032.33
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$78
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.9%+$301.54
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.1%+$135.16
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$149.14
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$8,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$8,655.82
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.8%+$239
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,254Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.2%+$995.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$9,615Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+61.2%+$5,884.99
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$7,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,665.31
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$5,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,708.14
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,475.49
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$370
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+117.7%+$874.52
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$504
Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT4348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,719
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38%+$419.77
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$82.65
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+113.6%+$584.99
Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "ICE" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$178
Will Trump say "Tariff" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+55.6%+$143
Will Trump say "Drill" or "Drilling" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.95
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,363Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+29.3%+$399.23
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+59.2%+$585.15
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,715Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37.8%+$1,024.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60,762Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.8%+$20,524.87
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+117.1%+$112.15
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.1%+$239.71
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.4%+$141.73
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$550.94
Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.81
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$91.8
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,585.02
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+79.7%+$1,769.38
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$551.99
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$95.95
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$99.9
Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$37.39
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$310.29
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$451.49
Will Paulo Dybala attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$120.54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,065.68
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$9,119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+603.6%+$55,044.78
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.32
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.87
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$253.48
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,417
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,104.86
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,537.25
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$558
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,290
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33%+$7.57
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Will Send Help be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+86.3%+$181.33
Will Iron Lung be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$21.62
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,118.29
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$211.72
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.89
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.8%+$244.81
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.79
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25.1%+$1,043.99
Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.7%+$252.34
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$152.14
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,351Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+56.7%+$4,167.68
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+101.5%+$403
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$628
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+44.3%+$50.85
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.05
Will 'Nosferatu' gross between $25-30m on 5-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$137
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT267.7%2 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-88.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Music — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$282.8
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.98
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,317.11
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.48
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.96
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.14
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,729Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$1,070.59
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.99
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$192.9
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$501.99
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$346.5
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$675
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.49
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,065
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.77
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,054.38
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.5
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+35.6%+$262.5
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$620
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Fulham wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Brentford wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Everton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13,691.01
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$8,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$8,319.87
Southampton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Brighton beat Chelsea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$88
Will France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,181.52
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+308.5%+$1,648.25
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$398.49
Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$483.95
Will Germany win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$450
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$525.3
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+36.2%+$425
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.8%+$639.46
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$244
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+36.9%+$221.49
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,546Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+41.8%+$645.51
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,169Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+27.7%+$1,155.01
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$6,072.92
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$484.59
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$4,078.85
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14,107.47
All 16 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+252.3%+$430.6
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,590.45
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,687Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26%+$4,080.12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,515.79
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$4,497.84
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.98
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,651Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+50%+$5,827.13
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,267Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+34.6%+$438.46
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+105.5%+$77
All 15 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.41
RedNote removed from App Store before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$52.99
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
China x Philippines military clash by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.15
China-EU trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,932Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$823.03
US-China trade deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$178.24
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 150% and 200% on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+45.1%+$81.6
Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+46.2%+$205.99
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.93
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,144.67
TikTok banned in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$198.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.34
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+39%+$407.91
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$167.06
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,214.72
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$932Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+174.4%+$1,625.17
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,113.09
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$260
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$643.23
Will Kanye launch a coin before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will another country launch a memecoin in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+25.4%+$363.68
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,954.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid+63.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$65.32
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$926.74
Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$390
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+30.7%+$94
Will another athelete win gold in the Men’s Marathon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+1,438.5%+$1,870
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,475.13
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$244.46
Olympic Basketball: Germany vs. Francebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$197.93
Will Simone Biles win the most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Ariarne Titmus (AUS) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Sha’Carri Richardson (USA) win gold in 100m W?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$70
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.75
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+321.1%+$2,980.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$435
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,884.32
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$389.97
Ethereum all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$94.93
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$119.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-82.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$323.99
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.8%+$750.93
Will the Patriots make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will a player cry during the national anthem at Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$217
Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$134.16
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$159.82
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$451.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-81.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+38.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+68.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$36.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Who will win the Solheim Cup?backed Europe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,039.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$429.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.