Earnings · resolved market
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe45d221e88fdad50b78507ff1ccdd4ca25c441f1940796871fdbdb96cbc0a621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 80c | 1,272$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 21c | 966.07$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 12c | 631.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 58c | 595$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…a8a9backed No | 60c | 571.3$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 48c | 555$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 27c | 452$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc266…5f27backed No | 45c | 447.74$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 54c | 435.7$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 54c | 330$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed No | 3c | 314.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 14c | 307.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 33c | 289.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed No | 22c | 266.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd9…647bbacked No | 47c | 260.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…81f2backed No | 25c | 237.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 17c | 232.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…6b3ebacked Yes | 75c | 229.68$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…7cccbacked No | 49c | 192.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 47c | 166.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…36fdbacked No | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…ea33backed Yes | 68c | 146.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 69c | 145.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…7854backed Yes | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 20c | 123.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 25c | 111.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 24c | 103.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…e096backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…8d75backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3655backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3356…b404backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 26c | 99.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked Yes | 47c | 96.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 49c | 90.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 73c | 78.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb4…c6d9backed Yes | 77c | 69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…3829backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99b…45dabacked Yes | 76c | 49.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 67c | 44.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…0383backed No | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 51c | 40.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…9ceabacked No | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -91%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…32c2backed Yes | 79c | 25.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 48c | 23.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dc…8fe8backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…d336backed Yes | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d68…402cbacked Yes | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…3fb3backed Yes | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…3171backed Yes | 78c | 15.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…5790backed Yes | 67c | 15.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…fcc0backed Yes | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…1bfcbacked Yes | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.