TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb14…5358

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,736
Categories scored
45
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT33948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 339 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Movsar Evloev fight Alexander Volkanovski next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Uroš Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$235
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Aleksandar Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$491.99
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Jared Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Damien Anderson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$648
Will the announcers say "Notorious" during McGregor vs Holloway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$375.02
Will the announcers say "Knockout," "Knock Out," or "Knocked Out" during McGregor vs Holloway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.25
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$37.96
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$680.5
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$93
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$211.5
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$521.99
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$341.96
Will Lone'er Kavanagh win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.38
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.72
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$113.98
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$47.5
Will Adrian Yanez win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$194
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Adrian Yanez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$251.99
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$205.99
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$181.49
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Showing 25 of 339 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT19939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$32.69
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+961%+$362.28
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.65
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$111
Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.86
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$573.78
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.37
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.42
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.95
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.84
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.7
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.73
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$75.9
Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.99
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$240.49
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.98
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$231
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.88
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT16347.2%77 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$48
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+136.7%+$115.5
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.3
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$63
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Angels vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.51
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Blue Jays vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Diamondbacks vs. Angelsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.4
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.38
Braves vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Cubs vs. Yankeesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
Cubs vs. Twinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Marlins vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$86
Phillies vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$49.2
Cubs vs. Twinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.29
Marlins vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+124.7%+$111
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT13455.2%74 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$99
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$301.99
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+80.7%+$55.58
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+32.8%+$39.42
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25.8%+$20.5
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$256.25
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.4%+$20
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.8
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$37.65
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.1%+$145.09
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.8
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$15.75
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+32%+$82.4
Will Sliwa or Adams get more votes?backed Adams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$54
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$15
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.7%+$122.88
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9351.6%48 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Sorry" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will "YUKON" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.15
Will the announcers say "Shakira" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$138.99
Will "Vogue" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.78
Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+548.3%+$1,522.34
Will Peso Pluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.58
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.85
Will "Hips Don't Lie" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Will "Waka Waka (This Time for Africa)" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.28
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$154.99
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$203.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.25
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$113.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$133.75
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$191.64
Will "Dynamite" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.32
Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$131.01
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$184.69
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.74
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$123.67
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST8958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$819.51
Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+90.5%+$80.33
Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37.6%+$123
Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$92.6
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.27
Will "Comeback" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Grupo Frontera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.4%+$20.87
Will Elon Musk attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27.6%+$49.43
Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.3%+$63.14
Will Lionel Messi attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+73.9%+$14.23
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37.9%+$55
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,547Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.3%+$438.17
Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.4%+$77.5
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.2%+$75.67
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,768Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.6%+$628.52
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27.4%+$247.1
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$277.13
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.4%+$250.99
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$71.5
No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$96.5
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$57.6
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.75
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+193%+$108.96
Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$36
Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+43.5%+$297.04
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6836.8%25 W · 43 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.35
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.8
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.74
Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$949.48
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$337.5
USD - Korean Won exchange rate hits 1,500 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+191.5%+$225.4
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$174.16
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+48.7%+$99.21
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.4
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$42
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$53.7
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.5
Will the JA21 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$63
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$162.63
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.06
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+253.8%+$430.4
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$56.54
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$136.6
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25.3%+$116.69
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$694.55
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$214.86
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$49
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$159.9
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$178
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$476.07
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.61
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$298.58
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$69.6
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+98.3%+$208.19
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$55.64
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,114.9
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$233.99
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT5152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.89
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.36
Will South Carolina win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.61
Team from East wins March Madness?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$15.95
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$37.52
March Madness: Team from the ACC to win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will Duke win by 6+ points against Houston?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$19.4
Will Florida win by 3+ points against Auburn?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.1
Will Michigan State win the South region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$50.4
Will Florida win the West region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Will a #1 seed lose in the Sweet 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.5
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.9
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.4
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$59.2
Arizona vs. Dukebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.35
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
BYU vs. Alabamabacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.6
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$35.55
Ole Miss vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.1
St. Mary's vs. Alabamabacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$84
Queens vs. Northern Arizonabacked Queens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$47.49
Elon vs. Armybacked Elon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.98
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT5068%34 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.51
Hannover 96 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$402.32
1. FC Magdeburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.25
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.21
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
SV Werder Bremen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$146
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$232.49
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$468
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$138.76
1. FC Magdeburg vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$174.97
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.35
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$169.5
VfL Bochum vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$101.44
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.53
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$171
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+76%+$307.47
RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+45.6%+$141.64
VfL Bochum vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$577.49
1. FC Magdeburg vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$741.49
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$152.99
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37%+$324
Hertha BSC vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$252
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT4461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$280.41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$238.38
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+120.2%+$117.9
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.68
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+168.9%+$72.24
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.2%+$200.87
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.3%+$75.25
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.1%+$52.65
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.4%+$43
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$82.5
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.9%+$25.7
Russian strike on Poland by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,554Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$666.49
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$34
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$26.5
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+29.1%+$169.12
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Ukraine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,789Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$475.96
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+172.7%+$208.98
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.1
Russia announces air truce by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$18.63
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$176.39
Will Trump call Putin “strong” on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$183
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Emily Flippen be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.5
Will Rick Devens be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.03
Will Ozzy Lusth be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.48
Will Cirie Fields be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.63
Will "Greenland" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$72
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$300.41
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Will the winner of Beast Games: Season 2 be Strong or Smart?backed Smart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.38
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25.7%+$179.84
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$188.54
Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$63.02
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$130.42
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+32.5%+$12.25
Will Sophie Segreti be voted off of Survivor season 49 on December 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$444.61
Will Sage Ahrens-Nichols be voted off of Survivor season 49 on December 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$62.92
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16.3
Will Greg/Gary die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Lochlan die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$6.89
Will Saxson die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will Chelsea die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+327.1%+$57.91
Will Blake Lively attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+185.7%+$52
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3933.3%13 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$616.48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$374.09
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.73
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.99
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+45.2%+$109
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.84
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$470.07
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+87.7%+$33.59
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37.2%+$199.48
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.93
Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$293.05
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$66.6
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+32%+$50.93
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44%+$198.61
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+158.7%+$113.5
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.1%+$126
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$61.3
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Will the Fed cut-pause-cut in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Fed rate cut by June meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+148.6%+$47.82
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$3.85
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST3655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$59.4
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$237.34
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30.88
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$63.5
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$267.84
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37.1%+$94.75
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60.25
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$54.2
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+27.6%+$10.8
Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$424.21
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+36.7%+$67.1
Will Gervonta Davis win by KO/TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+37.9%+$27.5
Will Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis be decided any other way?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+78.6%+$214.28
Boxing: Will Terence Crawford win by Points or Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by KO/TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$61
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+168.1%+$213.19
Boxing: Abby vs. RoRobacked Abby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$48.6
Boxing: Alana vs Ari Gelibacked Geli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.4
Boxing: TheGrefg vs Westcolbacked TheGrefg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$48
Boxing: Andoni vs. Carlos Belcastbacked Belcast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.89
Boxing: Viruzz vs Tomás Mazzabacked Viruzz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$45.23
Boxing: Perxitaa vs. Gaspibacked Perxitaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$89.98
Boxing: Peereira7 vs. Rivaldiosbacked Peereira7 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$97.2
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.7
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.68
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.54
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.4
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.4
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.9
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.83
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+226.8%+$104.09
NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.3
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+86.9%+$55.8
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.94
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Bucks (To Advance)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.25
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$60
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$27.3
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.9
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$23.75
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.44
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+60%+$18.75
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.6
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3560%21 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tre Fiori FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$55.93
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.07
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$91.86
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$238.5
SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$216
Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+102%+$50.5
Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.2%+$327.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+36.1%+$53
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$136.25
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$33
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+101.9%+$96.32
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26.8%+$23.59
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
Will PSG win in regulation?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$25.5
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Will Atlético Madrid beat Seattle Sounders?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.99
Will River Plate beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$117
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.91
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.25
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.65
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.99
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.24
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28%+$240.73
GPT ads by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$55
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250.94
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42%+$9.47
Will Zohran Mamdani be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$33
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$86
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+126.4%+$239.18
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+50.1%+$122.21
GPT transaction fees by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+217.5%+$68.49
Will Apple launch a HomePod on September 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$44.36
Will Apple launch an AirTag on September 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+80.3%+$305.26
Will Apple launch a new Apple TV on September 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$89.44
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.54
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.46
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.31
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$236
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.47
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+497%+$62.44
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$229
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$131.91
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$54
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.02
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$90.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $50-$55 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$72.5 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$42
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,102.28
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.23
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$894
Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+71.5%+$539.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.8%+$96.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$281.99
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+30.8%+$72.15
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.49
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$166.45
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$174
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+69.6%+$63.18
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+57.5%+$73
Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$322.5
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$129
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.7
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+185.7%+$38.99
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$21.4
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.79
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.56
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.96
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$75.5
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.86
Who will finish higher: Norris or Piastri?backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Who will finish higher: Albon or Sainz?backed Albon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$12.58
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.8%+$125.31
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.75
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+140.5%+$40.9
Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+1,215.8%+$231
Piastri vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.89
Verstappen vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Alonso vs. Stroll backed Alonso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.37
Hamilton vs. Leclercbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$141
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Chinese GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$14.75
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.99
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+202.3%+$66.92
Will Ferrari record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.06
Will Williams record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+168.6%+$99.8
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$48.5
Shelton vs. Sinner: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$58.5
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$68.44
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+124.4%+$194
US Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner – Over 40.5 Games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.17
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+215.8%+$358.74
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.5
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Terra Wortmann: Fonseca vs. Cobollibacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.18
Terra Wortmann: Rublev vs. Ofner backed Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Boss Open: Tien vs. Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
French Open: Keys vs. Gauff backed Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Qinwen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.7
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.61
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
KKS Lech Poznań vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$985.22
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.97
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.51
Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.11
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.99
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Derry City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.99
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$108
FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.4
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$13.3
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$17.25
Will Galatasaray beat AZ Alkmaar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Union St.-Gilloise beat Ajax Amsterdam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Will Real Sociedead beat FC Midtjylland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+119.8%+$43.6
Will Fenerbahce beat Anderlecht?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+60%+$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+98%+$99
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.5
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.75
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.8
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.84
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$13.66
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$17.8
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$33
Sabres vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+98%+$14.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$123.49
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37.2%+$234.33
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.11
Will Cuomo x Mamdani debate two times before election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+82.9%+$33.08
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+65.2%+$157.22
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$161.28
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.5
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+35.9%+$27.75
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$26.18
Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Will a Republican win Nebraska US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+26.8%+$63.47
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2024, EST-100%-$35.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$34.5
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+117.1%+$70.12
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will another coin be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will $PENGU be the next coin listed on Robinhood?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.14
Official Trump above $12.50 on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$68.49
Will another country launch a memecoin in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+33.4%+$132.64
Will Dave Portnoy launch a coin before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.38
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+85.2%+$115
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$32.25
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?backed $WIF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$148.4
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.42
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7000 (HIGH) in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Palantir dip to $162 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.91
Will Palantir reach $201 in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.9%+$111.25
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$105 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $95-$100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$54.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.43
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.49
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.99
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.98
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$129
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$137.27
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$109.18
Girona FC vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$184.48
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$326.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$660.03
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.28
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$157.1
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$61
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$282
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$97.93
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$153.09
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$176.25
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$69.02
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid+100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Valkyries vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.99
Valkyries vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
Sky vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.55
All 4 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170.42
Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$427.5
Trabzonspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$119.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$20.01
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$342
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rajasthan Royals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$86.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ye tweet again by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.