NBA · resolved market
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bbe9bf606a01129ff3d9b599d3c83aa28b28c27561b72c455a49883b1fbaff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,490,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,562,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,490,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 75c | 124,494$92,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,519.67 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked No | 24c | 102,990$24,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,480.39 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 49c | 89,290$43,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,905.24 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 53c | 83,147$43,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,464.73 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 64c | 67,678$43,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,297.71 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da0…deb5backed Yes | 67c | 56,322$37,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,586.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…298cbacked No | 33c | 56,322$18,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,586.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 55c | 53,081$29,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,761 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 66c | 50,117$32,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,263.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked No | 6c | 39,254$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 61c | 37,926$22,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,974.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 50c | 26,734$13,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,465.76 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Yes | 58c | 24,001$13,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,084.17 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 61c | 22,447$13,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,837.85 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 40c | 19,914$7,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,929.83 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 57c | 19,698$11,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,426.71 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 76c | 19,609$14,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.07 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…15f1backed Yes | 35c | 19,446$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,726.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 50c | 17,471$8,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,657.02 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 80c | 16,014$12,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 37c | 14,858$5,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,513.02 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 9c | 14,702$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 62c | 13,812$8,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,190.38 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 43c | 13,096$5,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,444.89 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed No | 47c | 12,754$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939.67 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 47c | 12,159$5,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,490.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 42c | 12,142$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,079.23 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 24c | 12,111$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.64 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 60c | 11,452$6,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,581.56 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 56c | 11,169$6,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,918.17 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 65c | 10,900$7,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.17 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 51c | 10,697$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.57 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 50c | 10,560$5,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,282.86 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 25c | 10,549$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 43c | 10,057$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.62 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…28ccbacked Yes | 62c | 9,605$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 63c | 9,502$6,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.14 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed No | 44c | 9,499$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,167.58 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…4f23backed Yes | 46c | 8,930$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 38c | 8,447$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.49 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 10c | 8,148$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.95 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 53c | 8,001$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 47c | 7,489$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.83 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Yes | 57c | 6,616$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.56 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…f445backed No | 49c | 6,445$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…e944backed Yes | 79c | 5,562$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca74…3b40backed Yes | 51c | 5,465$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 74c | 5,174$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.45 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes | 74c | 5,151$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.81 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…aaddbacked Yes | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 62c | 4,657$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.24 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 75c | 4,585$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.53 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Yes | 56c | 4,428$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 58c | 4,314$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.02 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…5581backed Yes | 76c | 4,146$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 55c | 4,086$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.56 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 44c | 3,981$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.27 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Yes | 47c | 3,841$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.72 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 51c | 3,634$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.58 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 44c | 3,530$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.8 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 55c | 3,492$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.14 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Yes | 65c | 3,450$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.34 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 37c | 3,377$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.12 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked Yes | 57c | 3,245$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.04 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 57c | 3,027$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.7 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 38c | 3,017$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.21 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…4eb7backed No | 49c | 2,999$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 60c | 2,938$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.33 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 36c | 2,740$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.68 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 65c | 2,700$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…7483backed Yes | 57c | 2,674$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 58c | 2,644$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.85 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 53c | 2,616$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.76 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…4a6bbacked No | 25c | 2,615$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…4e7ebacked Yes | 76c | 2,539$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Yes | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.96 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked No | 18c | 2,450$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 51c | 2,448$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.52 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 57c | 2,392$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.5 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 52c | 2,367$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.3 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 31c | 2,286$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.28 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked Yes | 30c | 2,233$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.98 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 56c | 2,214$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.29 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2006…cc76backed Yes | 24c | 2,183$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Yes | 58c | 2,135$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…cbf0backed Yes | 61c | 2,133$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d7…03dcbacked Yes | 24c | 2,125$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 52c | 2,118$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.5 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed No | 40c | 2,082$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 37c | 2,072$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.27 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 2,071$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Yes | 53c | 2,060$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.42 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 42c | 2,042$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.12 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?this page
- Will the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.