NBA · resolved market

Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x929d9d9c734006cfa0cd46c836fcd7c78b483bbc83eeade72bbbf5c7340b248e

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 15, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,993,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,909,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,993,908 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	10c	73,347$7,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,050.6	283	41.7%118 W · 165 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes	9c	71,269$6,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,078.74	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0821…078dbacked Yes	12c	56,000$6,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,440	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe427…907ebacked Yes	10c	55,500$5,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,772	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2035…cbd8backed Yes	9c	55,000$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,950	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7805…5447backed Yes	10c	55,000$5,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,610	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2641…5c7bbacked Yes	11c	55,000$5,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,775	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x336d…088fbacked Yes	6c	53,000$3,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,286	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes	9c	49,179$4,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,357.98	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa526…8d8dbacked Yes	5c	28,360$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes	2c	27,787$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.83	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	34cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2efb…4c54backed Yes	9c	26,382$2,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,454.74	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	7c	22,346$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,533.63	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db3…0d97backed Yes	12c	16,227$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes	11c	14,877$1,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,586.52	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes	8c	12,454$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.31	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	6c	10,693$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.4	98	4.1%4 W · 94 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Yes	9c	10,467$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.47	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Yes	13c	10,422$1,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,335.87	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes	11c	10,142$1,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.71	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	11c	10,018$1,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,068.62	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	7c	9,250$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.87	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	4c	7,332$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.63	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	2c	6,645$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.7	122	29.5%36 W · 86 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes	11c	6,217$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.3	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6236…15f1backed Yes	6c	6,000$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x543e…8253backed Yes	4c	5,809$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f8…b76fbacked Yes	1c	5,672$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.39	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+4.3wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+41%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes	3c	5,483$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.5	153	16.3%25 W · 128 L	-10.3wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	7c	5,036$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.68	227	50.2%114 W · 113 L	+24.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes	8c	4,852$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	269	34.9%94 W · 175 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba5…040bbacked Yes	11c	4,483$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc280…de71backed Yes	9c	4,287$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.44	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Yes	11c	4,281$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.65	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes	5c	3,733$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.36	164	36.6%60 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	8c	3,452$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.53	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes	8c	3,241$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.26	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes	9c	3,181$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf398…51e2backed Yes	4c	3,151$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Yes	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Yes	10c	2,938$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.9	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+39%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes	8c	2,908$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.98	102	26.5%27 W · 75 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…5b91backed Yes	4c	2,784$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe312…4a76backed Yes	7c	2,780$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	8c	2,657$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.87	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Yes	5c	2,315$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	501	44.7%224 W · 277 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x719b…c995backed Yes	9c	2,290$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.91	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2751…1678backed Yes	8c	2,185$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.24	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	11c	2,150$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.59	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e47…bb7fbacked Yes	6c	2,093$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.4	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	1c	1,984$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.17	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes	2c	1,950$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.2	258	36.8%95 W · 163 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a28…c1c0backed Yes	3c	1,825$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	8c	1,771$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.74	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f5…0c2cbacked Yes	11c	1,748$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.95	71	40.8%29 W · 42 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	8c	1,689$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.79	221	40.3%89 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd76…6c23backed Yes	4c	1,532$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.58	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	6c	1,524$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.44	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-73%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ed…3cc4backed Yes	9c	1,500$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	113	40.7%46 W · 67 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes	6c	1,485$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.59	111	44.1%49 W · 62 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes	4c	1,366$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.46	39	7.7%3 W · 36 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes	9c	1,356$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.19	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes	4c	1,263$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	87	14.9%13 W · 74 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a8…fb9dbacked Yes	1c	1,170$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0786backed Yes	10c	1,147$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,125$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.56	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes	9c	1,087$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	1,038$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.08	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc73…f1afbacked Yes	20c	1,007$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaca…5a0fbacked Yes	10c	1,004$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82af…70d6backed Yes	9c	1,003$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…045fbacked Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe266…7f63backed Yes	10c	1,000$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.5	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6597…997dbacked Yes	7c	1,000$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ddc…2741backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	8c	933.18$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.33	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1958…5548backed Yes	11c	927.65$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	24cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9136…7169backed Yes	12c	925.36$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.2	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+18%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	7c	922.05$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.84	96	18.8%18 W · 78 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd817…14e5backed Yes	4c	915.19$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	11c	900$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes	5c	887.76$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.45	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5305…6320backed Yes	6c	880.91$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes	3c	854.66$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.44	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…ffe0backed Yes	5c	775$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Yes	11c	740.44$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.45	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cc…a4efbacked Yes	5c	653.15$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.56	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes	3c	652.73$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.62	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x461a…4030backed Yes	8c	626.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.1	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2e…4d09backed Yes	4c	599.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4395…5b90backed Yes	9c	596.77$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.31	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+174.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Yes	11c	592.68$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.28	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e57…55b7backed Yes	9c	590.57$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	+139.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes	7c	587$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.94	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	32cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc150…2974backed Yes	10c	572.51$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe967…20dabacked Yes	3c	571.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53e7…9a6fbacked Yes	7c	562$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.34	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Yes	7c	546.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?this page
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?No won
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?No won
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Yes won
Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?No won
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the Western Conference?No won
Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event