TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2751…1678

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT7230.6%22 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.54
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+110.1%+$220.18
Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+208.4%+$416.86
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+900%+$900
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+297.1%+$594.12
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Monterrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+360.7%+$360.74
Will Al Hilal vs. Pachuca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Al Hilal beat Pachuca?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will RB Salzburg beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Urawa beat Monterrey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will River Plate beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ulsan beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will PSG vs. Botafogo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Monterrey beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ulsan Hyundai vs. Mamelodi Sundowns end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Al Ahly beat Inter Miami CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$342.24
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$659.24
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.36
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 October 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.36
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.9
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,122.99
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Ethereum all time high by August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$1,150
Ethereum all time high before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+155.4%+$1,281.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$307.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+900%+$270
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$354.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+324.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Metsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+324.2%+$324.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+233.3%+$464.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.