Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6b1af5fd1d7329fc816eb57bc63e3cad17f2074a338d67fd2a8718b61914705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,516,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,223,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,516,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 830 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5922…3388backed Yes | 1c | 246,436$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 25c | 150,656$37,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,739.27 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 0c | 100,851$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.35 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 40c | 91,637$36,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,293.77 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 37c | 82,172$30,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,164.92 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 8c | 71,998$5,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,842.68 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 52c | 57,676$29,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,942.73 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…1eb7backed Yes | 0c | 49,490$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 0c | 49,362$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…d4dcbacked Yes | 5c | 40,035$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.35 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 26c | 37,358$9,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,736.79 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 20c | 36,570$7,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,467.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…3f3abacked Yes | 58c | 36,165$20,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,859.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 31c | 33,432$10,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,344.98 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…164ebacked Yes | 66c | 30,455$20,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,082.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 28,190$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.01 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…c004backed Yes | 3c | 27,841$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.63 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 69c | 23,997$16,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.53 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc14…b0e2backed Yes | 69c | 23,932$16,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,512.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 1c | 23,912$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.41 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 32c | 23,389$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,579.35 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…5854backed Yes | 36c | 23,146$8,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,381.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x318f…d375backed Yes | 10c | 22,807$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.56 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed No | 41c | 22,115$9,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,057.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 18c | 21,995$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…98f7backed Yes | 15c | 21,661$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.3 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 24c | 21,432$5,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,072.72 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 40c | 20,676$8,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,361.21 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 21c | 20,407$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64e…2143backed Yes | 27c | 20,403$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,461.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 8c | 20,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795c…2093backed No | 51c | 19,613$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,612.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…6981backed Yes | 31c | 19,522$6,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,107.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…3d04backed Yes | 31c | 18,342$5,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,708.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked No | 49c | 18,200$8,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,245.06 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…84a1backed Yes | 34c | 18,094$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed No | 76c | 18,000$13,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 13c | 17,989$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.67 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 52c | 17,877$9,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,601.35 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 68c | 17,642$12,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,042.98 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 43c | 16,271$7,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,236.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed No | 33c | 15,000$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,988.52 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.50per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed No | 75c | 14,187$10,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…d479backed No | 57c | 13,784$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,983.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 48c | 13,514$6,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,991.48 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked No | 74c | 13,509$10,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.08 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked No | 76c | 13,216$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…87e0backed No | 45c | 12,887$5,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,085.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…6a7cbacked Yes | 7c | 12,808$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.35 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed No | 43c | 11,875$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,795.75 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 46c | 11,540$5,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,252.67 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc6…0d99backed No | 75c | 11,123$8,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 1c | 11,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…c093backed Yes | 3c | 10,608$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 41c | 10,305$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,181.53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,246$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 65c | 10,244$6,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,612.01 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 6c | 10,014$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…72ffbacked Yes | 16c | 9,599$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.44 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 25c | 8,977$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefb6…6db9backed Yes | 0c | 8,333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 61c | 8,235$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 38c | 8,103$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…a02ebacked No | 79c | 8,000$6,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…6763backed Yes | 8c | 8,000$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 25c | 7,726$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.33 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 62c | 7,654$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.44 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked No | 70c | 7,258$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 28c | 7,100$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f50…b9c8backed Yes | 68c | 7,000$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Yes | 13c | 6,814$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 67c | 6,444$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.79 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 59c | 6,390$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.39 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f61…3823backed Yes | 48c | 6,290$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…6ed6backed Yes | 66c | 6,120$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 27c | 6,099$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.11 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 68c | 6,028$4,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes | 22c | 5,903$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…4eddbacked Yes | 41c | 5,429$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…cdc2backed No | 75c | 5,400$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 19c | 5,377$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.01 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 28c | 5,307$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.9 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…a25ebacked Yes | 6c | 5,159$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 50c | 5,111$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.32 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…48b8backed Yes | 60c | 5,024$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 14c | 5,015$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.23 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 64c | 5,000$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…38a1backed No | 54c | 4,980$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 60c | 4,941$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Yes | 28c | 4,831$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…be46backed No | 41c | 4,721$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 4,569$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed No | 59c | 4,458$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…df5fbacked Yes | 20c | 4,452$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 45c | 4,444$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.95 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…e220backed Yes | 57c | 4,412$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…8030backed Yes | 11c | 4,348$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 0c | 4,282$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked No | 42c | 4,221$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed No | 40c | 4,202$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.