Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x315927e57e0246ccb27b0922032fd970efdae6534918cc47bc087e6ba95e0e67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $482,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 75c | 58,571$44,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,201.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 37c | 39,483$14,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,932.96 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 43c | 37,096$16,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,072.86 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 44c | 15,293$6,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,510.8 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…da78backed No | 25c | 14,777$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.63 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 46c | 14,707$6,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,979.92 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…a9a6backed No | 23c | 13,089$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 29c | 12,277$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 33c | 12,157$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,175.9 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Yes | 34c | 10,191$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,746.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 31c | 8,433$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.51 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 71c | 5,912$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…3166backed Yes | 31c | 5,796$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 66c | 5,766$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.42 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 48c | 5,562$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…7c1fbacked No | 34c | 5,218$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 41c | 5,065$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.54 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked No | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…775fbacked Yes | 69c | 4,742$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 31c | 4,383$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.7 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 61c | 3,130$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…a3d8backed No | 72c | 3,098$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 34c | 2,966$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…3d04backed Yes | 52c | 2,652$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 33c | 2,645$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.31 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 55c | 2,640$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…ed32backed Yes | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…0a62backed Yes | 75c | 2,502$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,319$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.15 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 44c | 2,259$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.55 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 77c | 2,208$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 46c | 2,132$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.75 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 72c | 2,006$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.56 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…22f0backed No | 72c | 1,954$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…9dafbacked No | 59c | 1,830$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 50c | 1,803$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.19 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1d…0704backed Yes | 78c | 1,758$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…a7afbacked Yes | 67c | 1,680$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.12 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…2b66backed Yes | 66c | 1,608$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…ac0abacked Yes | 78c | 1,566$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.33 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0dd1backed No | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 23c | 1,445$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.05 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…e29bbacked No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ea…60c2backed Yes | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…7e1cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,223$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 65c | 1,200$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…cf27backed No | 67c | 1,118$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked No | 67c | 1,106$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed No | 64c | 1,016$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…1b38backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 11c | 999.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…b1edbacked Yes | 52c | 942.42$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 28c | 900$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 29c | 883.55$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.23 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 26c | 768.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…2408backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…dd3cbacked No | 67c | 720.54$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…220cbacked Yes | 63c | 634.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed No | 40c | 634.18$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 40c | 632.87$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b024backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 12c | 600$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 507.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…d4b9backed Yes | 43c | 503.59$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcb…324dbacked No | 76c | 495.53$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 61c | 494.93$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…1b36backed Yes | 37c | 490$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…205bbacked Yes | 73c | 459.37$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a0…590dbacked No | 71c | 458.91$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b6…9adfbacked No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 27c | 415.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd46…58a6backed No | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…d077backed No | 66c | 390.51$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…dea4backed Yes | 79c | 378.13$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Yes | 26c | 376.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.92 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…7bffbacked No | 66c | 353.3$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 58c | 344.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 58c | 340.41$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…cfaabacked Yes | 67c | 339.49$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked No | 7c | 333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 57c | 332$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…75c7backed No | 33c | 328.03$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae5…d7b7backed Yes | 61c | 320.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…688fbacked No | 58c | 308.17$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…9074backed Yes | 31c | 276.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 50c | 268$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 61c | 261.64$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x622d…2ebebacked Yes | 70c | 259.81$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 63c | 255$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4300 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4700 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.