TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x54f5…d9c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
424
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST7048.6%34 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.9
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$69.3
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.83
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$144.26
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.48
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$45.86
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+129.9%+$226
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.71
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+203%+$134
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST6056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$15.83
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.6
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$9.14
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.4
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.5
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.5
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+68.2%+$182.5
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$54.8
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.5
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$58
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT3420.6%7 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+365.1%+$156.99
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$63.3
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+133.2%+$28.56
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$64.53
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.3
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$57.91
Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+170.3%+$31.5
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.83
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+471.4%+$165
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$69.99
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+274.9%+$413.33
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+443.5%+$163.2
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$66.99
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+117.2%+$135.48
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$203.6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$88.38
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+334.8%+$77
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.57
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.76
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+186.3%+$142.7
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$62
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$23
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+150%+$40.5
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$72
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.5
Will Everton win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.75
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Liverpool vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Fulham win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$61.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$53
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$53.56
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$79.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$302.19
Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+25%+$50.65
All 23 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+53.4%+$34.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+298.4%+$74.9
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$197.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$13.16
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.16
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.25
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.23
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+173.3%+$245.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.66
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.7
Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$202.27
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.64
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$75.66
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$77
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.6
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$230.99
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$43.69
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$201.54
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Inter win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Will Inter win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.61
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$152
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.82
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$84.37
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.43
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.73
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35.14
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+354.5%+$155.96
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Como win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.12
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.18
Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Juventus beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+284.6%+$74
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Philliesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.77
Royals vs. White Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Braves vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+64.3%+$12.87
Phillies vs. Piratesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Cardinalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.33
Cardinals vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.94
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.25
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.99
Royals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.5
Brewers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Yankees vs. Marinersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Pirates vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$163.53
Phillies vs. Guardiansbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+73.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$68.96
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+58.7%+$36.98
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.61
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$748.52
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Boss Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$124.5
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$62.17
Will Jack Draper win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+59.5%+$26.01
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.04
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.06
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$29.07
New Mexico vs. Marquettebacked Marquette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.87
North Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.32
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+138.8%+$400.04
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$91.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+114.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+900%+$180
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+417.2%+$241.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+190.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+71.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+86.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+113.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$15.03
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+436.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google say "Youtube Shorts" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+436.1%+$76.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. Clemsonbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$11.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhilei Zhang vs. Agit Kabayelbacked Kabayel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.