NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdbdf5dbda5afd6181483fda4edaca351eab15cc4351d17a354b70c80dc268fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Rockets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,968,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,141,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,968,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 662 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Rockets | 38c | 190,813$73,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,409 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Warriors | 61c | 164,859$101,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,544.39 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Rockets | 39c | 102,564$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 61c | 76,969$46,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,018.03 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Rockets | 30c | 64,568$19,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,354.93 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Warriors | 57c | 64,090$36,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,564.51 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Rockets | 47c | 54,280$25,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,362.12 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Warriors | 71c | 52,282$37,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,256.93 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 61c | 50,113$30,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,452.72 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Rockets | 39c | 50,000$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,250 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rockets | 59c | 47,056$27,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,588.46 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Rockets | 41c | 42,645$17,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,615.3 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Warriors | 58c | 42,199$24,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,598.73 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Warriors | 48c | 40,004$19,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,641.87 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 61c | 37,425$22,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,593.64 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Warriors | 62c | 32,000$19,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,160 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 62c | 30,483$18,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,649.11 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Rockets | 33c | 28,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Warriors | 75c | 26,464$19,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,503.1 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Rockets | 38c | 26,266$9,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,981.21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockets | 48c | 22,862$11,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,036.18 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Warriors | 75c | 20,282$15,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998.44 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Warriors | 58c | 20,171$11,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,469.48 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Rockets | 36c | 20,114$7,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,233.75 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Rockets | 35c | 18,709$6,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,596.24 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 52c | 18,652$9,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,953.18 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 49c | 18,419$9,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,028.27 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors | 61c | 18,160$11,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,069.11 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Rockets | 37c | 17,118$6,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,333.79 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Warriors | 63c | 13,855$8,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.32 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 49c | 13,830$6,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,815.41 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…eb70backed Rockets | 35c | 13,698$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848.88 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Warriors | 63c | 13,512$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,011.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Warriors | 62c | 13,184$8,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.96 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Warriors | 60c | 12,717$7,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,086.85 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Warriors | 62c | 12,117$7,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,658.46 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Rockets | 41c | 12,056$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rockets | 39c | 11,791$4,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.39 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed Warriors | 61c | 11,786$7,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620.31 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 61c | 11,272$6,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.08 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Rockets | 60c | 10,766$6,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,508.95 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Rockets | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…882bbacked Warriors | 61c | 9,995$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…ca41backed Warriors | 61c | 9,993$6,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1e…e67bbacked Rockets | 39c | 9,992$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…7d62backed Rockets | 39c | 9,991$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Warriors | 62c | 8,999$5,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.59 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Rockets | 38c | 8,653$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Warriors | 61c | 7,662$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.08 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 64c | 7,044$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 65c | 7,023$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.92 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Warriors | 61c | 7,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Warriors | 72c | 6,351$4,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Warriors | 66c | 6,334$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.13 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Warriors | 52c | 6,017$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Warriors | 61c | 5,771$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.85 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Warriors | 39c | 5,600$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Warriors | 76c | 5,253$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.5 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Warriors | 57c | 5,144$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.48 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Rockets | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Rockets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Warriors | 62c | 4,983$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Warriors | 61c | 4,927$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.71 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Rockets | 27c | 4,266$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.83 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 69c | 4,250$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.02 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Warriors | 48c | 4,011$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.36 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Warriors | 60c | 4,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Warriors | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.97 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Rockets | 39c | 3,849$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Warriors | 61c | 3,818$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.32 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Warriors | 62c | 3,778$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Rockets | 38c | 3,767$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rockets | 38c | 3,714$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.32 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Rockets | 43c | 3,661$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.81 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rockets | 28c | 3,557$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…3d40backed Warriors | 60c | 3,500$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockets | 38c | 3,312$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.44 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Rockets | 34c | 3,042$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.28 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Rockets | 60c | 2,950$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Rockets | 47c | 2,851$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.96 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed Warriors | 52c | 2,797$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Warriors | 66c | 2,740$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.56 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…6a8fbacked Rockets | 38c | 2,628$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockets | 40c | 2,544$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…0020backed Rockets | 61c | 2,529$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 61c | 2,150$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Warriors | 61c | 2,086$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.53 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Warriors | 56c | 2,011$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.07 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Rockets | 43c | 2,005$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.57 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rockets | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Rockets | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…a86dbacked Rockets | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Warriors | 63c | 1,974$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.3 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Rockets | 36c | 1,935$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Rockets | 44c | 1,822$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Warriors | 61c | 1,713$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.02 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…a222backed Warriors | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.