TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x898b…8d76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
485
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT17943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 179 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.25
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.49
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+131.1%+$30.83
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+204.7%+$202.1
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.99
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.57
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+416.4%+$231.05
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.83
Pacers vs. Spursbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.37
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.28
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$265
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$305.42
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$184.95
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$90.53
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked PHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+778.9%+$333.84
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$390.48
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.48
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+338%+$2,844.1
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.12
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$38.25
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$343.78
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+997.5%+$1,449.86
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.04
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+458.4%+$1,395.97
Showing 25 of 179 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST9947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$770.6
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$119.45
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.48
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.28
Brewers vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.91
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$98.21
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$97.29
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Twins vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Giants vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+58.6%+$496.05
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$458.81
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$633.32
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$138.75
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$719.29
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$232.13
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$463.79
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.25
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$849
Giants vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,019.82
Yankees vs. Raysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+83.4%+$631.52
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$367.18
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST7028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$991.31
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$106.42
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+129.5%+$349.46
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,063Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+178.3%+$5,462.23
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.56
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
US Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.41
US Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Jiri Leheckabacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.94
US Open: Linda Noskova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
US Open: Jerome Kym vs Taylor Fritzbacked Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.33
US Open: Taylor Townsend vs Mirra Andreevabacked Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+213.5%+$1,441.28
US Open: Ugo Blanchet vs Tomas Machacbacked Blanchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
US Open: Emma Navarro vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+91.5%+$139.29
US Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$930
US Open: Nuno Borges vs. Tommy Paulbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$765.24
US Open: Alexander Zverev vs. Jacob Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
US Open: Valentin Royer vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,005.92
US Open: Tristan Boyer vs Andrey Rublevbacked Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.74
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs David Goffinbacked Goffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.58
US Open: Jan Lennard Struff vs Holger Runebacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$195.79
US Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ugo Blanchetbacked Blanchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+529.9%+$688.85
US Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+120.5%+$1,204.93
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT5255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$71.17
Bruins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Penguins vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+95.9%+$115.06
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Penguins vs. Ducksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+68.6%+$406.28
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.05
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.65
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$520.75
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$90
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+94.7%+$236.82
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$405
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.29
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$195.26
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$110.14
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$106.48
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.9
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.15
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.02
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.53
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.01
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michiganbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Northwestern vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
California vs. Virginia Techbacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.32
North Texas vs. Charlotte 49ersbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.41
Tulsa vs. East Carolinabacked Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$152.73
Arkansas State vs. South Alabamabacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$195.86
New Mexico State vs. Libertybacked New Mexico State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.54
Duke vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+99%+$198.04
Texas A&M vs. Notre Damebacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+224.9%+$314.87
Old Dominion vs. Virginia Techbacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+247.4%+$472.61
Kansas State vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+101.9%+$450.27
North Carolina State vs. Wake Forestbacked North Carolina State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+109.2%+$26.78
Sam Houston vs. Hawai'ibacked Sam Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
UCLA vs. UNLVbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.14
Boston College vs. Michigan Statebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Vanderbilt vs. Virginia Techbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$156.83
Fresno State vs. Oregon Statebacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$619.63
Virginia Tech vs. South Carolinabacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.52
Colorado State vs. Washingtonbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+239.5%+$365.71
Mississippi State vs. Southern Mississippibacked Southern Mississippi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.99
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+90.2%+$100.07
Georgia Tech vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.71
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT2669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.4wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+39.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$304.85
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$289.51
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.95
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$82.22
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$629.56
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+241.4%+$297.19
Lions vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$67.34
Bengals vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.09
Dolphins vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$43.81
Raiders vs. Cardinals backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$540
Chargers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$451.24
Bills vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$920
Colts vs. Bengals backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Ravens vs. Commanders backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+63.6%+$381.85
Eagles vs. Jets backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+132.8%+$1,058.93
Patriots vs. Giants backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,583Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+74.8%+$1,184.09
Ravens vs. Cowboys backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$106.42
Buccaneers vs. Steelers backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$97.76
49ers vs. Raiders backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$213.33
Dolphins vs. Lions backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Vikings backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$257.33
Panthers vs. Texans backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$196.43
Giants vs. Bills backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.43
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Dream vs. Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.78
Valkyries vs. Stormbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Sparks vs. Mercurybacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+193.4%+$601.42
Sun vs. Dreambacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Wings vs. Lynxbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.07
Sky vs. Mercurybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Sun vs. Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Aces vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Mercury vs. Sparksbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$147.2
Storm vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+122.3%+$606.72
Fever vs. Lynxbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$289.46
Valkyries vs. Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.12
Aces vs. Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Valkyries vs Mercurybacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.49
Lynx vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$408.97
Sky vs Libertybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+669.6%+$2,246.37
Lynx vs Dreambacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mystics vs Sunbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$608.05
Wings vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$179.38
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$127.5
Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$93.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gujarat Titans vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+123.4%+$148.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.