MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0383cfaf8f0c07e4a1c31c50fe3aee24340924013ed5198bd497693f5c834bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Diamondbacks, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants | 57c | 39,460$22,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,967.68 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 35,634$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 31,163$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,399.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Giants | 73c | 25,542$18,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,866.92 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,749.94 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 68c | 18,334$12,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.58 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 57c | 12,635$7,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.92 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 57c | 11,248$6,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.63 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Giants | 75c | 10,500$7,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.9 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 15c | 6,469$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.22 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 6,139$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.15 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 5,886$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.98 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Giants | 57c | 4,680$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.4 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 56c | 4,407$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.26 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 3,753$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.35 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Giants | 56c | 3,477$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.88 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,284$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.54 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 19c | 1,486$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Giants | 57c | 1,450$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.5 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Giants | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,234$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.28 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,210$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.3 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Giants | 73c | 1,128$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.91 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 56c | 1,125$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 965$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.3 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 742$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.06 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 708$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.36 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 57c | 701$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.43 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Diamondbacks | 15c | 678.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Giants | 58c | 647.38$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.9 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 75c | 614.28$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 582.3$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.21 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants | 56c | 521.19$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.93 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Diamondbacks | 15c | 504.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Giants | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Diamondbacks | 10c | 490$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 56c | 449.71$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.87 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a37ebacked Giants | 56c | 408.93$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.93 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…80f8backed Diamondbacks | 12c | 408.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 57c | 374$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Giants | 57c | 368.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 357.01$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 10c | 353$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Diamondbacks | 19c | 334.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Giants | 80c | 317.51$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 78c | 276.66$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Giants | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 56c | 219.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Diamondbacks | 6c | 218.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Giants | 62c | 216.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Diamondbacks | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Giants | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Giants | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Diamondbacks | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 57c | 198$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Giants | 57c | 173$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Diamondbacks | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Giants | 67c | 144$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diamondbacks | 15c | 139$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Giants | 55c | 131.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Giants | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Giants | 60c | 126.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Diamondbacks | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 13c | 118.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Giants | 58c | 113.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b7…8a76backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Diamondbacks | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Giants | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Diamondbacks | 17c | 96.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…6a09backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Giants | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Diamondbacks | 14c | 76.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 75.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Giants | 57c | 73.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b4…cec5backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…525dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Giants | 76c | 57.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…1f37backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Giants | 56c | 54.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Giants | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8c…b5afbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Giantsthis page
- Diamondbacks vs. Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Giants (-1.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.