TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d9d…02c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
391
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT35952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 359 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$746.16
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82,997Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$55,331.24
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22,368.06
Twins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30,899.12
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,408.15
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97,654Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+50.1%+$48,941.33
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25,980.38
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17,201Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$10,102.11
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16,574.32
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21,086.33
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23,327Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$9,919.43
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,453.69
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27,240.57
Athletics vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19,453Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17,250.88
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,112Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$2,989.49
Padres vs. White Soxbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12,057Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7,389.92
Marlins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$51,555.04
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20,380Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$20,383.41
Athletics vs. Piratesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,024.83
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$136
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$36,394.56
Marlins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.66
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19,312Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,312
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23,251Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$23,250.91
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,183.62
Showing 25 of 359 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valkyries vs. Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,881Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+37%+$1,435.5
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$561.9
Valkyries vs Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$822
Valkyries vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$462
Sparks vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,506
Lynx vs Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$2,176.09
Storm vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Storm vs Sparksbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,442Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$406.72
Mystics vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.35
Liberty vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,819Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$3,378.14
Sky vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$448.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$664.99
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,129.75
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60,699Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$34,717.3
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26,574Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8,858.14
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41,356Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$39,734.1
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37,449Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+117.3%+$43,915.99
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,186.65
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,192.35
Titans vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.09
Dolphins vs. Coltsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12,911Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,910.72
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47,679Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$12,674.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24,884Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$9,769.83
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12,862Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3,841.9
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6,975.81
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15,206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5,068.83
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$760.02
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,104.24
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$5,085.39
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,657
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,167.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Alcaraz backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$655
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.