NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1444251b3dafb9a59d8d2cea3c6455850c1d36003f03dfbc2e094da2ab2dd161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,291,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,819,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,291,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9b…3d2cbacked Bills | 71c | 1,288,562$917,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370,899.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Jets | 29c | 521,174$149,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,140.48 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jets | 29c | 213,770$61,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,993.27 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Jets | 29c | 200,552$57,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,754.58 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Jets | 29c | 77,019$22,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,335.45 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bills | 74c | 58,466$43,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,199.4 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Jets | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Jets | 10c | 45,011$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,367.57 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jets | 29c | 45,000$13,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,050 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jets | 29c | 41,222$11,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,820.16 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Jets | 29c | 35,184$10,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,202.94 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Bills | 72c | 30,844$22,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,753.98 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Jets | 29c | 30,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Bills | 74c | 29,798$21,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,869.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Bills | 71c | 24,000$17,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,960 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Jets | 3c | 20,756$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.89 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Jets | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Jets | 28c | 19,431$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.35 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jets | 29c | 18,670$5,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,484.64 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Jets | 27c | 18,387$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.58 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Jets | 29c | 17,885$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,186.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jets | 29c | 17,841$5,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,167.36 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Jets | 29c | 17,219$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.63 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Jets | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Jets | 28c | 13,918$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.15 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Bills | 72c | 12,889$9,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Bills | 70c | 9,900$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.93 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Jets | 26c | 9,077$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.02 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jets | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jets | 29c | 7,850$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.72 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Jets | 26c | 7,226$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.86 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Jets | 28c | 7,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Jets | 24c | 6,875$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.2 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Bills | 73c | 6,185$4,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.05 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Bills | 72c | 5,556$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Jets | 26c | 5,046$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.05 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Jets | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Jets | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets | 26c | 4,766$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.1 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets | 29c | 4,138$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.02 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Jets | 27c | 4,116$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Bills | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Jets | 10c | 3,849$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.26 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Jets | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bills | 70c | 3,190$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.07 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Bills | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.23 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Jets | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Jets | 15c | 3,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Jets | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bills | 72c | 2,840$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.25 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Jets | 1c | 2,776$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Jets | 27c | 2,572$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.78 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Jets | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Jets | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Jets | 27c | 2,399$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Bills | 72c | 2,103$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.94 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…fcbabacked Bills | 72c | 2,072$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Jets | 5c | 2,017$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Jets | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Jets | 29c | 1,955$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.95 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Jets | 29c | 1,914$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.03 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Jets | 30c | 1,865$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jets | 1c | 1,780$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Bills | 73c | 1,771$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.08 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Bills | 71c | 1,700$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets | 29c | 1,603$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.86 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bills | 78c | 1,549$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.45 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bills | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bills | 72c | 1,477$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.94 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Bills | 71c | 1,448$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.45 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e38…ec7bbacked Bills | 74c | 1,345$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Bills | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bills | 72c | 1,239$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.48 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Jets | 9c | 1,182$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…fa1bbacked Jets | 11c | 1,172$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jets | 27c | 1,112$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.17 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Bills | 72c | 1,042$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jets | 3c | 1,015$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets | 26c | 1,000$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Bills | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Jets | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Jets | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Jets | 26c | 961.01$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Bills | 72c | 959.64$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.91 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Jets | 29c | 855$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…61b1backed Bills | 74c | 841.18$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.71 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jets | 2c | 820$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Jets | 29c | 750$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bills | 71c | 740$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…f731backed Bills | 74c | 726.62$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Jets | 29c | 706.79$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.97 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bills | 78c | 697.36$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.31 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Bills | 71c | 625.35$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.35 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jets | 29c | 612$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jets | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Jets | 30c | 595$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…0ab8backed Jets | 8c | 578.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bills | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Jets | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Jetsthis page
- Bills vs. Jets: O/U 45.5Under won
- Bills vs. Jets: O/U 46.5Under won
- Bills vs. Jets: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Bills won
- Spread: Bills (-4.5)Bills won
- Spread: Bills (-5.5)Bills won
- Spread: Bills (-6.5)Bills won
- Spread: Bills (-7.5)Bills won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.