TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa710…4173

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
355
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST16036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 160 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,210.6
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,450
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,723.81
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,334.53
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$7,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$7,163.52
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$390.2
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$3,400
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,982.59
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+290.6%+$8,137.16
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,560.52
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,553.14
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$49.45
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$550.14
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,100
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$293.2
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,285.8
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,120
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+222.6%+$6,899.97
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.58
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,866.31
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$136.85
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$346.28
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,380
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$208.21
Showing 25 of 160 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.11
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.46
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,749.98
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+210.7%+$746
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+155%+$776.54
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$134
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$26
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,899.99
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,802.47
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$817.89
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,050
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$999.96
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,080
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$699.98
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.37
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,540.75
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,020.58
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$924.99
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$275
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$374
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$429
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$583
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+203%+$737
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$2,159.97
Miami vs. Florida Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,549.97
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$609.93
Arkansas vs. Ole Missbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,067.38
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,849.97
Will Ashton Jeanty win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$1,300
Penn State vs. Oregonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10.39
Will Utah beat TCU?backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+203%+$1,057.7
Will Texas beat Georgia?backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+177.8%+$960.32
Will Kansas St. beat Colorado?backed Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,234.4
Will Ohio St. beat Oregon?backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+150%+$1,199.99
Will Penn St. beat USC?backed Penn St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$8
Will USC beat Minnesota?backed Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+300%+$71.41
Will Ohio State beat Iowa?backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will Texas A&M beat Missouri by 3 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,644Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+100%+$1,644.01
Will Texas A&M beat Missouri?backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$10.67
Will USC beat Wisconsin?backed Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Notre Dame beat Louisville?backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will Oklahoma beat Auburn?backed Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$80.11
Will Michigan beat Minnesota?backed Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$61.73
Will Miami beat Virginia Tech?backed VA Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$576.94
Will LSU beat South Carolina?backed South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.31
Will Alabama beat Wisconsin?backed Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,240.7
All 23 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham beat AZ Alkmaar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,159.95
Will Anderlecht beat Ludogorets?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,320
Will Rangers beat FCSB?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,240
Will Lyon beat Besiktas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$2,020.2
Will Porto beat Hoffenheim?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,360
Will Manchester United beat Fenerbahce?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$1,679.95
Will Athletic Bilbao beat Slavia Praha?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.07
Will PAOK beat Viktoria Plzen?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$161.5
Will FK RFS beat Frankfurt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Roma beat Dynamo Kyiv?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$956.96
Will Tottenham beat Qarabag?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$798.28
Will Braga beat Maccabi TLV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$658.16
Will Olympiacos beat Lyon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$123.41
Will Roma beat Athletic Bilbao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$429.99
Will Frankfurt beat Viktoria Plzen?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+270.4%+$2,012.6
Will Malmo beat Rangers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$521.33
Will Fenerbahce beat Union Saint-Gilloise?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,339.47
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.78
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$196.74
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.2
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,857.69
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$414.26
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,100
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17,426.74
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$2,698.49
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+455.6%+$410
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,538Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+455.6%+$7,008.34
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$317.1
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$400
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 7.5-10%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2024, EST-100%-$152
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,911Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2024, EST+161.6%+$3,088.94
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-59.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,980.52
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$7,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,152.41
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,184.22
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$123
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,377Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+80.1%+$1,903.39
Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,030.1
Will Trump nominate Joni Ernst for Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$500
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$1,723.68
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$776
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+81.8%+$4,500
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$2,347.72
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$270.88
Will Florida legalize weed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$58.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2024, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+203%+$1,000.38
Will Inter Milan beat Young Boys?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,079.97
Will Young Boys beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$360
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Stade Brestois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+194.1%+$2,639.93
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$202
Will Juventus beat Stuttgart?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,388Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+100%+$1,388.27
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,529.93
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$181.6
Will Bologna beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$640
Will Sporting CP beat Sturm Graz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$559.99
Will Monaco beat Red Star Belgradebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$581.88
Will AC Milan beat Club Brugge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$286.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$439
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.72
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$9,891Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,891.39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,117.79
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+498.8%+$666.4
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34.89
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$238.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$400
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,543Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+83.5%+$5,462.18
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$489.06
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$339.13
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.86
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,237Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$3,264.22
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$4,199.96
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$4,000
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-24.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2024, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2024, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,349Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$1,461.68
Ortega vs. Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$24.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,866.42
Will $Fartcoin hit $1b FDV before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$176.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Meta reach $760 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$182.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,356Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$452.11
Olympic Men’s Basketball: Germany vs. Serbiabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,492.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+300%+$3,749.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$955.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,093.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,460.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.