Venezuela · resolved market
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4babebd2b4fb3faf6a3e2754d57920bcfb240d53e4d4a53dbaef11fd43381465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $808,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $827,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $808,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 825 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…09a8backed Yes | 63c | 28,043$17,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,355.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 11c | 21,919$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…27f5backed No | 0c | 19,920$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked No | 50c | 13,258$6,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,597 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…92eebacked No | 59c | 13,244$7,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,783.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e9…751fbacked No | 0c | 12,352$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed Yes | 40c | 11,363$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,837.99 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…f365backed Yes | 30c | 11,020$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,736.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…34cabacked No | 71c | 10,120$7,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,168.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed No | 3c | 8,760$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…b8fdbacked Yes | 17c | 7,976$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,581.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +276.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 3c | 7,793$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.15 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…31e1backed Yes | 47c | 7,426$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc42d…5287backed Yes | 32c | 7,141$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 45c | 6,962$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.02 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…c36fbacked Yes | 32c | 6,607$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 24c | 6,377$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.3 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 60c | 6,358$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 25c | 5,750$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +395.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 28c | 5,736$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.53 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 75c | 5,719$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…a693backed No | 60c | 5,700$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 28c | 5,425$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.41 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 22c | 5,320$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 71c | 5,004$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 22c | 4,619$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.14 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 43c | 4,564$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.33 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 28c | 4,444$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.64 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 43c | 4,343$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 43c | 4,299$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes | 54c | 4,158$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.81 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 35c | 4,079$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 24c | 4,051$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.92 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 45c | 4,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…79f2backed No | 77c | 3,887$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed No | 67c | 3,710$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 26c | 3,617$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.36 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 63c | 3,569$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…8d0dbacked No | 45c | 3,419$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes | 30c | 3,414$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.64 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…88dbbacked No | 24c | 3,382$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…658fbacked No | 66c | 3,189$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 45c | 3,146$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed No | 48c | 3,146$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 56c | 3,142$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.4 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a45…c42dbacked No | 71c | 2,974$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 28c | 2,898$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 27c | 2,871$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.75 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 71c | 2,823$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…002abacked No | 13c | 2,743$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +343.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 29c | 2,707$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 34c | 2,616$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.93 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 61c | 2,529$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.22 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,507$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 13c | 2,486$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.76 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 74c | 2,465$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…eb6dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,459$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 5c | 2,442$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed No | 5c | 2,400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 79c | 2,364$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…12a4backed Yes | 23c | 2,218$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +343.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19de…03a6backed No | 77c | 2,167$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…160dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,157$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 4c | 2,154$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked No | 3c | 2,136$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.02 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.99 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,998$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 33c | 1,978$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.96 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…f35ebacked No | 75c | 1,977$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed No | 80c | 1,950$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…9797backed No | 1c | 1,833$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…41c2backed No | 64c | 1,784$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 30c | 1,690$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked No | 60c | 1,671$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 22c | 1,671$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.82 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 26c | 1,629$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.79 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb232…b555backed Yes | 23c | 1,550$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…9e19backed Yes | 45c | 1,521$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.18 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 68c | 1,503$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 76c | 1,500$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 37c | 1,477$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.59 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba9…0a15backed Yes | 48c | 1,420$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…245dbacked No | 71c | 1,414$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead5…43edbacked Yes | 32c | 1,400$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +334.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 72c | 1,397$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 34c | 1,392$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 66c | 1,358$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 21c | 1,322$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 33c | 1,311$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 51c | 1,308$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,307$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 70c | 1,298$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 21c | 1,279$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked No | 74c | 1,275$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.