TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbab6…50a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4231%13 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,666.94
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$497.13
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,570Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$1,050.21
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,836Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$1,749.61
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.01
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.57
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35.3
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$291.13
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$616.59
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$370.93
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$311.52
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+55.9%+$164.31
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$291.03
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$113.99
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.8%+$361.79
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,961.95
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+61.3%+$1,140.11
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$34.62
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$175.09
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$491.15
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+192.1%+$239.45
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.88
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.04
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,497.77
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.52
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,138.74
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.62
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.68
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$121.31
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.82
Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,330.03
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,945.22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+178.7%+$1,263.68
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$278.11
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210.2
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$3,450
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+315.9%+$9,833.24
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,998Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$563.42
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$901.9
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$792.2
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+55.2%+$371.74
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,414.14
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,577.44
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,772.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.73
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$341.3
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+61.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.11
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.61
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$62.42
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,897Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$513.88
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$204.76
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$123.5
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,592Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,196.69
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$337.02
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$793.31
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,865.4
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$634.71
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.15
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.15
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$215.6
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.65
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,372.87
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,053Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$1,866.09
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.03
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,349.3%+$817.54
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$382.95
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$313.19
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,619Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$711.73
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,616Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$404.02
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+252.4%+$1,044.28
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.13
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$532
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$798.46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,904.52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,224.87
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,555.79
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.8
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.83
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 13?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,315Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$1,324.58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$18.08
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 13?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,832Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$1,685.03
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,813Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$2,432.14
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+190.2%+$593.85
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$520.78
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.6%+$588.95
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+163.6%+$1,361.1
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,905Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25.2%+$1,235.19
Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 20?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+45.6%+$50.38
Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 20?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+82.3%+$505.7
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.6%+$745.63
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+39%+$89.34
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,899Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+208.7%+$3,963.03
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,558.06
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,045.27
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$971
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360.2
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,472.87
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$707.87
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.98
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$480.81
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$600
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$750
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$826.12
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.14
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$918.72
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.3
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$386.1
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$596.4
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,959Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$623.89
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,313Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$567.15
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$96.03
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.4
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$781
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,924.21
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$1,016.57
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-65%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.96
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,924.55
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.01
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$223.42
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$460.02
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$705.71
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$77
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,127.02
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$398.43
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,092Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+86%+$1,798.34
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$351.12
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$170.42
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,995Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$1,995
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,248
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$63
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.89
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,244.83
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$74.82
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$221
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2025%5 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+315.8%+$2,396.76
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+231.7%+$135.57
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$497.33
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.6%+$849.98
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.25
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$266.52
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$372.33
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$947.56
Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.19
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.02
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
TikTok sale announced before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Trump impose tariffs on Colombia in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$429.92
Will Trump impose tariffs on Panama in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Trump announce tariffs on France on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Trump announce tariffs on Germany on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.8
Will Trump announce tariffs on Venezuela on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$32.74
Gold missing from Fort Knox?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$344
Will NEC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$230
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$780
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$485.77
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+184.8%+$578.84
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+115.4%+$158.04
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$352
Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$492.71
PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$196.29
NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$216.71
AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$320.02
AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$261.53
AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$777.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+59.3%+$276.49
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,161Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+77.9%+$1,682.6
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$176.36
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+113.8%+$86.24
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$672.81
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$585.52
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.74
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.04
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.68
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+32.6%+$42.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$142.31
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.1%+$281.09
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" or "boat" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$408.8
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$201.07
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$556.06
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$86.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.52
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$416.11
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+89.1%+$978.72
Will Trump say "Baby" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+60%+$23.81
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$289.06
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$392.59
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+57.4%+$291.81
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+205.3%+$881.81
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$330
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Como 1907 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$620.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$62.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$256.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+71.2%+$546.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$560.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$708.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$280.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$339.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.