Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x623ba735a59d47252a03abcd62efef91499819e4b374dc853b8a05793679e9a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 54c | 7,278$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 4,627$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 1,324$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.71 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 25c | 1,106$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.59 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 69c | 659.31$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.42 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Over | 50c | 640.04$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Under | 51c | 583.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 41c | 144.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 41c | 123.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 59c | 112$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 60c | 101$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 42c | 96.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 40c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…a621backed Over | 55c | 78.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed Under | 61c | 70.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 48c | 60.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 59c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…9546backed Over | 41c | 49.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 40c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 41c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 40c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 41c | 36.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.