TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff63…5aa1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST3542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Grizzlies vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+86.1%+$89.88
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Wizardsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Warriors vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$135.04
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$110.23
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 254.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+64.2%+$89.88
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$143.37
Bucks vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+49.3%+$68.96
Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$97.47
Spurs vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$91.8
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$72.53
Bulls vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Wizards vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Hornets vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$78.15
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2850%14 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$116.12
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$51.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$82.22
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$85.81
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$68.62
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+177.8%+$177.78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+64.4%+$109.91
Will Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+101.4%+$151.89
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$325.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+498.2%+$666.28
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+212.5%+$144.48
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$15.5
Will West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$45.26
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$145.71
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+41.6%+$117.13
Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$82.42
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Falcons vs. Cardinals: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$112.21
Jaguars vs. Broncos: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$90.24
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.96
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$153.32
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+244.8%+$244.83
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick39cpaid+127.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+173.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+100.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Mali win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+135.3%+$135.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZSM vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$120
O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.